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Three Things I Think I Think – Hump Day Edition

Three Things I Think I Think – Hump Day Edition

Okay people. Just 2.5 more days and we’re there. You can make it….In the meantime, here are some things I think I am thinking about: 1 – Why Bull Markets are Hated. Here’s a great piece from Josh Brown about bull markets and why they’re so hated. The sad reality of the financial markets is that all […]
USD Crashes Ahead Of FOMC Minutes – A Buy Opportunity?

USD Crashes Ahead Of FOMC Minutes – A Buy Opportunity?

The US dollar is sliding across the board. The bigger breakout is seen in USD/JPY which digs lower to levels last seen in October 2014, but also other currencies are celebrating against the US dollar. The Federal Reserve releases the minutes from the March 16th meeting. In that meeting, and in a consequent speech by Fed Chair Janet Yellen, the […]
Valeant Has Biggest Daily Surge Since 2005 On Bill Ackman’s Soothing Comments

Valeant Has Biggest Daily Surge Since 2005 On Bill Ackman’s Soothing Comments

Having been crushed by his Valeant exposure, today there was finally some good news for the embattled hedge fund manager. Speaking on an investor conference call Ackman said Valeant is now on track to deliver its delayed 10-K by month end which will likely give the company a shot in the arm because investors will […]
Returns On Capital–And Interest Rates–Will Be Low In The Future

Returns On Capital–And Interest Rates–Will Be Low In The Future

Returns on capital have been low for most investments. Ten-year U.S. treasury bond rates averaged three percentage points above inflation from the 1950s up until the last recession started. Since the end of the recession, those bonds have yielded just one percentage point more than inflation. Stock market returns adjusted for inflation averaged lower than historic averages in the […]
How Amazon Is Becoming A Major Player In Finance

How Amazon Is Becoming A Major Player In Finance

It was never about the books. Jeff Bezos may have launched Amazon as an Internet book seller, but he quickly turned Amazon into an overall ecommerce powerhouse. There’s little that Amazon isn’t in to these days. Amazon still sells books but it’s also one of the leading cloud technology providers via its technology unit, Amazon Web Services […]
One Of Paul Tudor Jones’ Favorite Indicators Suggests The Bear Market In Gold Is Over

One Of Paul Tudor Jones’ Favorite Indicators Suggests The Bear Market In Gold Is Over

As the best-performing asset class in Q1 there has been a lot of talk about gold lately. The debate seems to focus on whether this strength marks the end of the four-year bear market for the precious metal or whether it’s just another counter-trend rally. Looking at the chart above, I’m reminded of a quote from […]
Stock Market Performance By Presidential Administrations

Stock Market Performance By Presidential Administrations

It is leap year and Wall St. is having its usual discussion of which candidate will be better for the stock market. I do not know, but it is interesting to look at the historic record. Starting with Truman makes a good comparison as Republican and Democrats have served almost the same number of years […]
A Yen For Yen

A Yen For Yen

Today’s big reversal to the upside in stocks across the board can be explained with three letters: O, I, and L. As I’m typing this, crude is up over 5%. Of course, market pundits love oil, because they use it to explain equity strength irrespective of direction. If oil is up, then that shows the […]
Silver Jewelry Sales Strong, Reflecting Broader Demand For The White Metal

Silver Jewelry Sales Strong, Reflecting Broader Demand For The White Metal

The market for silver jewelry grew in 2015, mirroring an overall surge in demand for the white metal, according to a survey report released yesterday by the Silver Institute: Silver jewelry sales in the United States were solid in 2015 with 60% of jewelry retailers reporting increased sales, according to a survey conducted on behalf of the […]
Pfizer – Allergan Deal’s Cancellation Loses Investment Banks Millions

Pfizer – Allergan Deal’s Cancellation Loses Investment Banks Millions

Pfizer (PFE) and Allergan (AGN) announced that they’re canceling their planned merger because of new tax limitations on inversion deals, and this is apparently hitting the investment banks that were handling the transaction to the tune of $350 million. The merger between the two drug companies was estimated to be the biggest deal ever, and in a […]