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Archives by Year:
USD/JPY Forecast April 17-21
The yen sparkled this week, as USD/JPY dropped 170 points last week. The pair closed the week at 108.55, as the yen climbed to 5-month highs. There are just four releases this week. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for USD/JPY. The yen took advantage of soft US consumer numbers, as CPI […]
EC The CPI Is A False Guide For Monetary Policy
For years the Federal Reserve and many other central banks around the world have declared that a key element of monetary policy is targeting the annual price inflation. Now the Federal Reserve has suggested that that target rate may be “temporarily” raised to – well, they have been less precise about that. As measured by […]
A Silver Price Seasonality Chart
We talked about silver for the medium term in yesterday’s article Silver Price Close To Major Breakout. As discussed, the article was focused on a potential tactical breakout in silver, leading to a short to medium term bull market. Readers reacted on that article, asking what to make out of it in the bigger scheme of […]
Good And Bad Accumulations
Not all ’causes’ or accumulations (or distributions) warrant a trade, some are good and some are not; it is the investor’s job to determine which are more Mr Hyde or Dr Jekyll. The Law of Cause and Effect In order for there to be an effect (change in price), there needs to be a cause. […]
Emerging Markets Q1 2017 Recap: A Strong Start
Templeton Emerging Markets Group has a wide investment universe to cover—tens of thousands of companies in markets on nearly every continent. While we are bottom-up investors, we also take into account big-picture context. Here, I share the Templeton Emerging Markets Group’s overview of what happened in the emerging-markets universe in the first quarter of 2017, […]
Weekly Economic & Political Timeline – Sunday, April 16
There will be a similarly low amount of high-impact news scheduled this week, compared to last week. There is central bank input expected from the Reserve Bank of Australia, as well as a smattering of other data. The market will probably be most active on Tuesday and Thursday. It will be a public holiday in […]
Gold Gets Trumped Up
“Thank you, Mr. President.” And as for last week’s 180° out-of-phase missive entitled “We See Gold Working Lower Near-Term”, we need only cue the 1966 Bob Hope classic “Boy, Did I Get A Wrong Number!” For as the above panel shows, Gold soared off the surface from where ’twas a year ago in sporting its best weekly gain by both […]
Euro On Edge During Holiday-Shortened Week Ahead Of French Elections
Fundamental Forecast for EUR/USD: Neutral – French-German yield spreads widening back out, reflecting the market’s uncertainty over the outcome over the French election. – The retail crowd remains net-long EUR/USD, which as a contrarian indicator means losses could persist. – See how the French elections fit in with our Q2’17 EUR/USD forecast. The Euro lost ground against every major currency (save the US Dollar) last […]
Will This Be An Egg-cellent Easter For Netflix?
STICKY Streaming giant Netflix (NFLX) is due to release its first quarter results for this year tomorrow, April 17. The stock is notoriously volatile with prices up 65% in the past year, but down from $148 to $143 in the past month. We decided to check in and see what the top-rated analysts on Wall Street […]
USD/CAD Forecast April 17-21
USD/CAD reversed directions last week and dropped 90 points. The pair closed the week at 1.3318. This week’s key event is CPI. Here is an outlook on the major market- movers and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD. In the US, consumer indicators were soft, as CPI and retail sales reports missed their estimates. However, employment and consumer confidence beat expectations. […]
