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More ‘Junk’ Talk

More ‘Junk’ Talk

Ok, so this is one of those things that’s intuitive but simultaneously noteworthy (usually when something’s intuitive, it’s not worth mentioning by virtue of the fact that it’s self- evident). First, a (very) brief recap. IG has been outperforming HY for months. This is something we’ve documented extensively. You want to keep track of this […]
China PMI Vs Dr Copper

China PMI Vs Dr Copper

The August round of official PMI data from China showed some mixed signals, and a little bit of something for everyone, but overall a signal of steady as it goes for now. The manufacturing PMI was up +0.3 to 51.7 while the non-manufacturing PMI was down -1.1 to 53.4 with the breakdown: Service index -0.5 to 52.6 […]
Gold And Bitcoin Hype Hits Stratosphere (Part 1)

Gold And Bitcoin Hype Hits Stratosphere (Part 1)

The hype and nonsense Bitcoin and gold has blasted through the troposphere into the stratosphere. I suppose hype could get higher. The next target is the mesosphere. Some of those residing on terra firma are tired of the hype. I am one of those. Let’s kick off the discussion of gold hype although Bitcoin is far […]
IRA And 401k Investment Decisions You Must Make

IRA And 401k Investment Decisions You Must Make

Adults are faced with many tough decisions. Your career, education and picking a partner (or none at all) are common examples. While you may consult with experts, family, and friends, some decisions you must make for yourself. The consequences of those decisions may impact the rest of YOUR life. “I’ll worry about retirement later” is […]
Has The Euro Topped?

Has The Euro Topped?

At least in the short term anyway? Remember, that based on my USD update from yesterday, I am still looking for a 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL) in the USD. The Dollar has rallied hard off yesterdays low and as you would expect, the EURO is showing signs of topping here. I have taken […]
EUR/USD Drops 200 Pips And Challenges 4th Wave Pattern

EUR/USD Drops 200 Pips And Challenges 4th Wave Pattern

EUR/USD 4 hour The EUR/USD has made a sharp bearish decline and is now testing the outer limits of a potential wave 4 (purple). A break below the 61.8% makes a wave 4 unlikely and the wave structure would change where wave 5 (purple) of wave 5 (green) of wave 3 (green) would be completed […]
The EU Is Treating The UK Like Greece – 5 Worrying Similarities

The EU Is Treating The UK Like Greece – 5 Worrying Similarities

Five months after the UK officially triggered Article 50 to leave the EU, the Brexit negotiations are currently in their third round and not going anywhere fast. The negotiations have worrying similarities to those with Greece. It did not end quite well over there.  Here are five similarities. It could get much worse from here: […]
Sensex Trades Marginally Lower; Telecom Stocks Witness Losses

Sensex Trades Marginally Lower; Telecom Stocks Witness Losses

Share markets in India are presently trading marginally lower. Sectoral indices are trading on a mixed note with stocks in the telecom sector and metal sector witnessing maximum selling pressure. Energy stocks are trading in the green. The BSE Sensex is trading down 81 points (down 0.3%) and the NSE Nifty is trading down by 23 points (down 0.2%). The BSE Mid Cap index is trading flat, while […]
The Coming Contagion – CDS Sales Double From 2016

The Coming Contagion – CDS Sales Double From 2016

  The issue of credit default swaps (CDS) in 2017 is running at twice that of last year reflecting rising concerns of another coming crash. The number of hedge funds and banks dealing with highly sensitive credit derivatives has reached almost $30 billion in 2017 up from only about $ 15 billion in 2016 and […]
As Far As Trump And Yields, Goldman Figures It Can’t ‘Feasibly’ Get Any Worse

As Far As Trump And Yields, Goldman Figures It Can’t ‘Feasibly’ Get Any Worse

There have been a lot of attempts recently to try and discern how much of the blame for falling yields and the flagging dollar can be placed at the feet of the man who they let do it only because he’s a star, Donald Trump. What makes these efforts so amusing is that some of […]