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Velocity “Magic”, Tax Receipts, And GDP

Velocity “Magic”, Tax Receipts, And GDP

Reader Jeff asks “Since we appear to have record tax receipts in a  record low-velocity environment, could we expect tax receipts to increase if the velocity of money picks up?” Velocity vs Tax Receipts   Velocity is defined as (prices * transactions)/(money supply). Economists substitute GDP for (prices * transactions). Real GDP is a flawed […]
Let’s See If We Can Find A Reason Why The Plunging Dollar Isn’t Trump’s Fault

Let’s See If We Can Find A Reason Why The Plunging Dollar Isn’t Trump’s Fault

Ok, look… We’ve gotten to a place now where we’re all searching for reasons why we shouldn’t blame Donald Trump for adverse market outcomes. In other words, the default when looking at things that are directly influenced by policy decisions (think FX and yields), is to assume that the only data point which matters is the fact […]
Debunking Common Myths About Bitcoin

Debunking Common Myths About Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a scam. It’s a Ponzi scheme. It’s a bubble. There’s nothing backing it. I’ve heard all these before. And I understand why some people are wary. At first, many people don’t understand why bitcoin has value. Today I’m going to give a detailed response to these criticisms. One of the most important features […]
5 Efficient Stocks To Buy For A Healthy Portfolio

5 Efficient Stocks To Buy For A Healthy Portfolio

Companies with favorable efficiency levels are poised to be on investors’ radar irrespective of market conditions as price performance is believed to be positively correlated with the efficiency level.  Efficiency or the company’s ability to transform its inputs into outputs is an important measure to determine its financial condition. Ratios to Evaluate Efficiency Levels We have […]
One Of The Best Personal Finance Hacks You Would Least Expect

One Of The Best Personal Finance Hacks You Would Least Expect

Despite popular belief, one’s inclination to pay off their mortgage as fast as possible isn’t necessarily a foregone conclusion. If for nothing else, one of the best personal finance hacks I have encountered promotes the idea of maintaining your monthly mortgage obligations. I’m convinced it may not be in your best interest to pay off your mortgage […]
US Dollar Tanks Taking EUR/USD Near 2017 Highs, Gold Price Jumps

US Dollar Tanks Taking EUR/USD Near 2017 Highs, Gold Price Jumps

We are slowly entering a time of increased seasonal volatility and the turn into September next week is sure to add a spark like we haven’t seen in sometime. On Sunday’s open, the market will begin to price in fully any ramifications from Jackson Hole. The initial take away of focus was that Janet Yellen might have effectively […]
Analysts Defend Supermarket Chains After Amazon Pledges Whole Foods Price Cuts

Analysts Defend Supermarket Chains After Amazon Pledges Whole Foods Price Cuts

A number of Wall Street research firms are out defending stocks that fell yesterday after Amazon (AMZN) announced that it would cut prices at Whole Foods (WFM) stores as soon as its deal to buy the grocer closes this Monday. UBS wrote that the decline in the shares of Costco (COST) and Spouts Farmers (SFM) […]
Reappoint Janet Yellen As Fed Chair

Reappoint Janet Yellen As Fed Chair

Four years ago, I made the case why Janet Yellen would make an excellent chair of the Federal Reserve. As testimony to the power of our mighty blog, President Obama followed our advice and nominated her for a four-year term. So I thought I’d call attention now to a few of the reasons why President Trump should […]
August 2017: ECRI’s WLI Growth Index Rate Again Marginally Declines

August 2017: ECRI’s WLI Growth Index Rate Again Marginally Declines

ECRI’s WLI Growth Index which forecasts economic growth six months forward remains in positive territory for over one year. This is compared to RecessionAlerts similar weekly leading index. Analyst Opinion of the trends of the weekly leading indices Both ECRI’s and RecessionAlerts indicies are indicating moderate growth six months from today. Both indices are showing […]