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Archives by Year:
SPX Bullish Scenario To 2510-20 Winning Points So Far
From my past analysis here and here I was focusing more on the bearish scenario, BUT price never broke down our support levels at 2445 or 2258. Price has risen now above 2480 and the bullish scenario has become the favorite one. However, I would like to remind that even if I see 2510 or higher as a possible […]
Don’t Buy Long Volatility – It Is A Sucker’s Game
Traders are trying to score big – but they’re playing a sucker’s game. The idea is to buy volatility when it’s low and wait for the ultimate move to the upside. They are dreaming of a move we haven’t seen since 2008 when volatility took off like a rocket ship into space. Back then, the […]
Crude Oil Invalidated Breakout – What’s Next?
On Friday, crude oil moved sharply lower and lost over 3% after investors digested the EIA report and reacted to the increase in crude oil inventories. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude invalidated the earlier breakout above the resistance area and slipped well below $48. What does it mean for the commodity? Crude Oil’s Technical […]
Dollar Recovering Its Losses On The Back Of Growing US Bond Yields
On Monday the 11th of September, as geopolitical tensions subsided, investors’ appetite for risk returned. In the European session, the dollar rose against the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and gold. On the other hand, the US dollar lost ground against the loonie, British pound, and Kiwi dollar. The dollar/yen rate rose to 108.66 and the dollar/franc […]
Franklin Resources: A Cheap Dividend Aristocrat Or Value Trap?
When it comes to low-risk dividend investing, it’s usually hard to go wrong with dividend aristocrats, those 51 S&P 500 companies that have managed to grow their payouts for at least 25 consecutive years. After all, such consistent growth generally requires that a company operate in a stable, growing, and wide moat business. As importantly, management […]
USDCAD Daily Analysis – Monday, Sept. 11
USDCAD extended its downside movement from 1.2662 to as low as 1.2061. As long as the price is below the bearish trend line on the 4-hour chart, the bounce from 1.2061 could be treated as consolidation of the downtrend, and a further decline to 1.1800 area is still possible. Only a clear break above the trend line […]
Mid-Term Trading Idea FX EURCAD – Bear Speculation: Building On The Idea From The 10th Of July
Trading opportunities on the currency pair: In the period from the 12th of July to the 11th of September, the Bank of Canada twice raised interest rates, with the key rate now at 1%. With this in mind, interest in the Canadian dollar is set to rise significantly. In my forecast, I’m predicting a continued drop on the […]
Separating Your Politics From Investing
Investing is a contrarian game. The only way to win in the long run is to see things that others have missed, finding the value in places where it has been ignored. It is certainly based on sets of objective criteria, but also comes down to the human judgment of how to weigh multiple and […]
Whole Foods Price Cut Leads To 25% Surge In Customers, Channel Checks Reveal
Curious what the impact was of those dramatic price cuts by Amazon at Whole Foods two weeks ago? We now have the answer. As a reminder, at the end of August, just as the Amazon purchase of Whole Foods closed, Jeff Bezos slashed prices at his newest retail acquisition by up to 43%. As Bloomberg calculated then, some […]
Why JPMorgan Thinks You Should Just BTFD (Buy The Failed Dip)
Ok, so the debate continues about what exactly it is that YTD lows in 10Y yields portend not just for Treasurys, but also for risk assets and for the global economy more generally. Needless to say, the recent bond rally doesn’t seem to say anything good about the future of the reflation narrative that drove […]
