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Gold Soars Above $1300 As Concerns Mount

Gold Soars Above $1300 As Concerns Mount

Gold has tested $1300 level three times since April and it finally broke above the level on Monday and rose to the highest level this year. The trigger of the break seems to be the North Korea firing a ballistic missile over Japan, which boosts the safe haven demand. The yellow metal then extended the […]
US 10-Year/3-Month Treasury Spread Falls To Nine-Year Low

US 10-Year/3-Month Treasury Spread Falls To Nine-Year Low

The yield difference on the benchmark 10-year Treasury Note less the 3-month T-bill fell to 1.03 percentage points on Wednesday (Sep. 6), the lowest since Jan. 2008, according to daily data published by Treasury.gov. The latest dip pushed the spread below the previous post-recession low of 1.08 set in July. The widely followed 10-year/2-year spread (red line […]
‘Sorry, But It’s Crazy’ – Riksbank Decision And The Policymaker Paradox

‘Sorry, But It’s Crazy’ – Riksbank Decision And The Policymaker Paradox

As noted in our week ahead preview, the Riksbank faced a rather daunting task headed into today’s rate decision. Obviously, they have to exercise caution. They’re effectively beholden to whatever the ECB does. As Governor Stefan Ingves told Bloomberg earlier this year, “when you are next to an elephant, you have to be careful.” Simply put: they need to […]
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                        Stock Market Bubble Now Largest Of Past 100 Years

E Stock Market Bubble Now Largest Of Past 100 Years

Context plays a vital role in the development of reliable market forecasts. Short-term price behavior only has meaning when analyzed in the proper context afforded by the long-term view, so all investing and trading strategies should begin with a thorough understanding of the big picture. The cyclical bull market in stocks that began in early […]
Consumer Credit & The American Conundrum

Consumer Credit & The American Conundrum

What to do? This is not as an innocuous question as one might think. For most American families, who have to balance their living standards to their income, they face this conundrum each and every month. Today, more than ever, the walk to the end of the driveway has become a dreaded thing as bills […]
All Eyes On Draghi: Futures Flat, Euro Surges, Dollar Slides; Yuan Breaches 6.50

All Eyes On Draghi: Futures Flat, Euro Surges, Dollar Slides; Yuan Breaches 6.50

S&P futures are flat, still spooked by the WSJ’s report that Gary Cohn will not be the next Fed chair, while both European stocks and Asian shares gain in a overnight session on edge in which everyone is looking forward to today’s main risk event: the ECB meeting and Draghi press conference due in under […]
AUD/USD Elliott Wave View: Bullish Above 0.787

AUD/USD Elliott Wave View: Bullish Above 0.787

AUD/USD Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally from the 8/15 low is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from the 8/15 low, Minute wave ((w)) ended at 0.79957 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 0.7868. Minute wave ((y)) is in progress and the subdivision also unfolds as a double three. Minutte wave […]
ECB Preview: Are Tapering Expectations Overcooked? EUR Strength Presents Risks

ECB Preview: Are Tapering Expectations Overcooked? EUR Strength Presents Risks

Economy & ECB Fuel EUR Rally EUR has been soaring higher over recent months as consistently strong data out of the eurozone, and a more constructive tone from the ECB have encouraged the market view that the ECB will be winding down its QE program sooner rather than later. At their summer meeting, the ECB […]
EUR/USD: 5 Reasons Why Draghi Won’t Likley Talk Down EUR In A Meaningful Way – ANZ

EUR/USD: 5 Reasons Why Draghi Won’t Likley Talk Down EUR In A Meaningful Way – ANZ

The European Central Bank is about to make its decision and it seems that the euro cannot wait. EUR/USD is advancing towards 1.20. Can it continue higher? Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: ANZ FX Strategy Research argues that that there are 5 reasons to be skeptical that President Draghi will address euro strength head-on in […]
ECB Focus For Sure, But Not Only Game In Town

ECB Focus For Sure, But Not Only Game In Town

The US dollar is trading broadly lower. The ECB meeting looms large. Many, like ourselves, expected that when Draghi said in July that the asset purchases would be revisited in the fall, took it to mean, after the summer recess, not a legalistic definition of when fall begins. Still, there have been some reports, citing unnamed sources close to the ECB, that have […]