Archives by Month:
- November 2024
- October 2024
- September 2024
- August 2024
- July 2024
- June 2024
- May 2024
- April 2024
- March 2024
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- October 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- July 2017
- June 2017
- May 2017
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
- August 2015
- July 2015
- June 2015
- May 2015
- April 2015
- March 2015
- February 2015
- January 2015
- December 2014
- November 2014
- October 2014
- September 2014
- August 2014
- July 2014
- June 2014
- May 2014
- April 2014
- March 2014
- February 2014
- January 2014
- December 2013
- November 2013
- October 2013
- September 2013
- August 2013
- July 2013
- June 2013
- May 2013
- April 2013
- March 2013
- February 2013
- January 2013
- November 2012
- October 2012
- August 2012
- July 2012
- June 2012
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- April 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- November 2010
- October 2010
- September 2010
- August 2010
- July 2010
- June 2010
- May 2010
- April 2010
- March 2010
- February 2010
- January 2010
- December 2009
- November 2009
- October 2009
- September 2009
- August 2009
- June 2009
- April 2009
- February 2009
- December 2008
- November 2008
- October 2008
- August 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
Archives by Year:
E New York Times Takes Aim At The Volatility Trade And Trading Crowd
Through no fault of my own I’ve recently found myself at the heart of the mainstream, short- volatility (VOL), media headlines. Ok, maybe that’s a bit disingenuous and I should take a little bit more ownership of the role I’ve played over the last several years regarding the volatility/VIX trade. I have written several dozen […]
Uranium Miners Close To Very Bullish
Uranium miners are close to become very bullish. In fact, so far, it seems that uranium miners have followed a textbook case of a mega breakout. If we look back, over the last 9 months, we see a secular breakout pattern. As annotated on the chart: “1” is the breakout point, where the long term […]
Focus On Gold, Silver And Precious Metals Mining
This week I’ll focus on gold and silver. Here’s gold’s step sum chart going back to November 2010. For almost a year (November 2010 to August 2011) gold’s step sum saw an amazing ascent; rising from 220 to 275 (55 net advancing days) in a ten month period. That’s a lot, but then that’s what a […]
Markets Ignore Harvey As Hope For Tax Plan Lifts Stocks
One of the tougher things around is learning the art of surfing. I can recall the phrase, “Getting Up,” as being the hardest part for surfers, that of pushing yourself to stand up on the board while the wave is forming in order to find “the tube.” I never was able to get up, but […]
Speculators Add To Expectations For Higher Gold And Silver
The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) accomplished a major milestone in the past week: it fully reversed its entire post-election loss in what looks like a major breakout. Yet one more “Trump effect” put to rest. Source: StockCharts.com Speculators have been rushing back to gold likely in anticipation of these much higher prices. Speculators have rushed to re-accumulate […]
BLS Says Motor Vehicle Hiring Most Since February 2014: Anyone Believe This?
Rex Nutting on MarketWatch offers this opinion: The jobs report shows a spike in auto jobs — and that doesn’t pass the smell test. Motor Vehicle Production Auto Hiring Manufacturing payrolls increased by 36,000 in August, three times as many as usual, and matching the highest monthly gain in four years. Better yet, the number of […]
The Winds Of Change
By RCM Alternatives Eighty-nine percent of futures markets experienced a contraction of volatility in the first six months of 2017, which translates to a lack of trends for typical systematic Managed Futures managers for find Alpha from. Don’t look now – but there might be some needed movement taking shape in some markets. First up, […]
GBP: Outlook Improves Against Both USD And EUR
Talking Points: The likelihood of tighter monetary policy in both the US and the Euro-Zone has lessened in recent days, potentially helping the British Pound against both. Meanwhile, the latest round of Brexit talks has now ended, removing a possible banana skin. As for economic data, a relatively quiet week lies ahead. Fundamental Forecast for GBP: Bullish The […]
US PCE Inflation Still Weak: Avoid TIPS ETFs
A key inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, remained unchanged year over year in July, per data released on August 31, 2017. It increased 0.1% in July on a monthly basis. Excluding food prices and fuel, core PCE measure — the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation — increased 1.4% in July year over […]
Capital Is Optimizing Again
In my calculations of utilization of labor and capital, there is a derivative of one equation that tells to what extent capacity and labor is being optimized. Here is the graph of current monthly data. As the lines get closer to 0%, they are more optimized. When they reach 0%, they are fully optimized. The […]
