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Archives by Year:
Implied Correlation And SKEW
We hear a lot about the VIX and how volatility is low, but we rarely hear about the VIX’s siblings: the CBOE SKEW Index and the CBOE Implied Correlation index. This is a shame because they are certainly worth listening and paying attention to. All three are based on options on the S&P500 and its constituents. Looking at the charts, the first […]
Sensex Opens In The Red; Axis Bank Plunges 7% On Weak Q2 Results
Asian stock markets are higher today as Japanese and Hong Kong shares show gains. The Nikkei 225 is up 0.3% while the Hang Seng is up 0.1%. The Shanghai Composite is trading up by 0.2%. US markets inched to record closing highs in spite of a weak showing from financial stocks. Meanwhile, Indian share markets have opened the day in the red. BSE […]
Draghi Does Not Lift The Euro
One week ahead of the all-important ECB meeting, President Mario Draghi delivers opening remarks at the ECB conference in Frankfurt. EUR/USD was trading in a narrow range of only 33 pips ahead of the speech, and it seems he is unable to move the needle in the world’s most popular currency pair. Draghi’s opening remarks […]
Market Drama Hits A Fever Pitch As Trump Narrows Fed Chair Shortlist
As you might expect from a reality TV show host, President Trump’s long selection process to identify the next Fed chair has increased the drama to record levels. Yesterday’s headlines suggested Stanford University economist John Taylor made a favorable impression on the President last week. The creator of the famed “Taylor Rule” for formulaically determining […]
S&P 500 And Nasdaq 100 Forecast – Wednesday, Oct. 18
S&P 500 The S&P 500 initially fell during the day on Tuesday but found enough support to turn around and form a hammer again. It looks as if the earnings season is going higher, as so far most estimates have been rather healthy. The 2550 level looks to be very supportive, but I also recognize […]
Oil Prices Continue To Firm Up
Oil prices were higher on Wednesday morning, powered by a decline in I.S. crude inventories and continued worries about political tensions in Iraq and Iran. U.S. WTI futures were up 0.33 percent to $52.05 per barrel and Brent crude futures were up 0.60 percent to $58.23 per barrel as of 1:19 p.m. HK/SIN. Some technical […]
Stagnant U.K. Household Earnings To Fuel GBP/USD Weakness
Trading the News: U.K. Employment Change In light of the market reaction to the U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI), another batch of lackluster data prints may continue to rattle the near-term rebound in GBP/USD as it saps bets for higher interest rates. Even though BoE Governor Mark Carney warns the central bank will deliver a rate-hike over the ‘coming months,’ the […]
European Growth: Distinct Lack Of Good Faith?
It was a busy weekend in retrospect, starting with Janet Yellen and other central bankers uncomfortably facing a global media that has become (for once) increasingly unconvinced. Reporters, really, don’t have much choice. The Federal Reserve Chairman might not be aware of just how much she has used the “transitory” qualifier since 2015, but others […]
REIT Stocks Q3 Earnings Queued Up For Oct 18: CCI, SLG & BDN
The Q3 earnings season has just begun and the real estate investment trust (REIT) space is already buzzing with activity. Notably, on Oct 18, Crown Castle International Corp. (CCI – Free Report), SL Green Realty Corp. (SLG – Free Report) and Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN – Free Report) are scheduled to release their quarterly results. Admittedly, the Federal Open Market Committee […]
Gold Slips As Dollar Strengthens
Gold prices fell $10.22 an ounce on Tuesday, extending their losses to a second straight session, as strength in the U.S. dollar eroded the appeal of the precious metal. Technical selling pressure was also behind gold’s decline yesterday. Dropping through the $1292-$1289 support triggered a fresh round of selling and dragged prices to the Ichimoku […]
