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Archives by Year:
Gold & Gold Stocks Bounce
We look at the internals of the gold stocks which portended to a bounce, the US Dollar and bond yields as well as potential resistance and support targets for Gold. Video length: 00:13:02
Global Equity Breadth Check
In this article we look at a 3 key charts on global equities that utilize market breadth techniques. In this case we are looking at the breadth across country benchmarks i.e. the main stock market benchmark of all countries where decent pricing data was available (70 countries in this case). I talked about how we use breadth […]
Forex Weekly Outlook October 9-13
The US economy lost 33,000 jobs in September due to the Hurricanes. While, this is lower than the 80,000 increase expected by most experts, unemployment rate improved to 4.2 percent, better than the 4.4 percent recorded in August. Meaning the labor market is still creating enough jobs to absorb market slack. Also, sluggish wage growth picked up […]
Why Lose-Lose Almost Always Beats Win-Win
Professional negotiators often wax poetic about win-win outcomes: where both sides cooperate and compromise. In practice, win-win is never a dominant strategy. Lose-lose almost always beats it. Here’s why. Adopting a Dominant Strategy One of our clients asked us to help them define a set of dominant strategies for a new AI system. The goal […]
Monday Morning Kickoff: Has The Fed Found The Data It Has Been Looking For To Justify A December Rate Hike?
The stock market continued to grind its way higher last week, even as it traded off following Friday’s substantially weaker than expected September Employment Report, which led the market to finish the week with a stubbed toe. Candidly, following the missed relative to expectations results from restaurant company Darden (DRI), we were bracing for a […]
Q3 Earnings Season Begins This Week: Here Are The 3 Things Goldman Clients Are Focusing On
It’s that time in the quarter again: 3Q earnings season begins this week with Wall Street consensus expecting S&P 500 EPS growth of just 5% (3% ex-Energy), a sharp drop from the last two quarters (Q1 was+14% and Q2 +11%). According to Goldman’s Davis Kostin, “solid economic activity coupled with a weak USD will support […]
What Andy Warhol Can Teach Us About Maximizing Trading Profits
Three weeks after comparing fund managers who lose money for their clients by desperately clinging to hypotheses about how the world should work (as opposed to how it actually does work) to the Cassini spacecraft (which careened into Saturn’s atmosphere at about 78,000 mph last month), Bloomberg’s Cameron Crise is back with some more “deep” macro thoughts for you. See if you’re […]
Forex Forecast: Pairs In Focus – Oct. 8
The difference between success and failure in Forex trading is very likely to depend upon which currency pairs you choose to trade each week, and not on the exact trading methods you might use to determine trade entries and exits. Each week I am going to analyze fundamentals, sentiment and technical positions in order to […]
USD/JPY Outlook Clouded With Mixed Signals Ahead Of FOMC Minutes
Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bearish USD/JPY appears to be on its way to test the July-high (114.50) as it clears the monthly opening range following the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, but the near-term outlook remains clouded with mixed signals as the rebound from the 2017-low (107.32) appears to be losing momentum. Even though U.S. […]
Why A New Form Of ‘Nationalization’ Will Occur
The extended period of Quantitative Easing (QE) and ZIRP have now left the major global central bankers in an untenable position because of the era of unlimited leverage which it has fostered. According to the Bank for International Settlements, central banks’ combined asset holdings in the major advanced economies (the US, the Eurozone, and Japan) […]
