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Archives by Year:
Fed Rate Hikes, Fiscal Vs. Monetary Policy And Why Again The Case For Gold?
I’ve been thinking about the current Fed Funds rate hike cycle, which is logically gaining forward momentum now that the Fed can stand down from its 8-year, ultra-lenient monetary policy cycle. That is because the Obama administration’s goals required a compliant Federal Reserve to continually re-liquefy the economy as its fiscal policies drained it. With […]
The Shale Oil Bubble
Here’s a chart that Business Insider put together after Friday’s rig count showed yet another build that took us to September 2015 levels. Source: Business Insider The only time I remember seeing a parabolic move like this followed by a dramatic bust was during market manias. Question: Was the shale oil capital expenditure explosion simply a bubble? […]
Johnson & Johnson – Chart Of The Day
Summary 4 new highs and up 9.02% in the last month Wall Street analysts predict increased sales and earnings 96% technical buy signals The Chart of the Day belongs to Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) I found the health care stock by using Barchart to sort today’s Top Stocks to Own list first for the highest number of new highs in the […]
E Best And Worst Large Cap Stocks – Tuesday, March 14
The best large cap sector is industrials. The top scoring industry is healthcare plans. The average large cap score is 67.78 and the average score over the past four weeks is 69.16. The average large cap in our universe is trading -10.89% below its 52 week high, 4.25% above its 200 dma, has 4.19 days […]
Hedge Funds Have Returned 13.63% In The Past 12 Months
Written by Preqin Returns of 1.18% take 12-month performance to the highest level recorded since May 2013 2016 Hedge Fund Letters The Preqin All-Strategies Hedge Fund benchmark recorded returns of 1.18% in February, building on the 1.43% gains seen the previous month. This contrasts with the losses that hedge funds incurred in February 2016: the industry has […]
Dual Momentum With Stock Selection
Gary Antonacci may not be happy to learn that his “Dual Momentum” label has been pirated by a team of academics (Huang, Zhang, and Zhou)(1)(2) in a new paper that explores the combination of price and fundamental momentum stock-picking strategies. The authors also investigate the common rebuttal that transaction costs destroy stock momentum strategies. The authors […]
June Rate Hike Odds Slump To 4-Month Lows
While Fed Funds futures imply a 100% probability that the Fed hikes rate by 25bps tomorrow, it appears questions over Trump’s policy timeline combined with the collapse in GDP expectations has dragged expectations for another rate hike in June back to its lowest since the election… As GDP growth expectations have plunged so April Fed Funds […]
Bullish – Only If This Key Support Level Holds
Technical analysis of S&P 500 Futures, major support and major resistance, trading in a channel, watch the VIX to get confirmation: Video Length: 00:03:00
The Goose Takes Wing
This week we have the IPO of Canada Goose (NYSE:GOOS). If you live in NYC or Boston you can’t help but notice that everyone seems to be wearing these parkas. How does a company that’s been around since 1957 suddenly make such an impression? Here are a few facts to know about the company and […]
4 Ways The Fed Could Move Markets, Even Though A Rate Hike Is 100% Priced In
Markets have finally shifted (at least a little bit of) their attention away from President Trump, with tomorrow’s highly anticipated Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting taking center stage. We’ve beaten the heck out of the dead horse explaining that traders have already completely priced in a rate hike from the venerable central bank (see “What the buck is […]
