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E Market Briefing For Friday, March 10
Swelling crude oil inventories certainly contribute to the majority of fears about economic slowing and of course the XOI’s influence on the market big caps. But it’s not that simple. First on Oil; it’s been rising supply rather than slackening demand, that contributes to that aspect. Even the Saudi’s in a clear-cut comment yesterday (that […]
WTI Crude Oil And Natural Gas Forecast – Friday, March 10
WTI Crude Oil The oil markets continue to struggle during the Thursday session, as the short-term rally that opened the day turned around and we broke well below the $50 level. This is a psychological win for the sellers, and thus I believe we are going to continue going lower. Anybody who’s been listening to […]
Preview For NFPs And Trade Setups For DXY, EUR/USD, & USD/JPY
Video length: 00:07:56 The key issue surrounding today’s February US Nonfarm Payrolls report is whether or not the US labor market will give further indication that it is strong enough to justify three rate hikes during the rest of 2017. With Fed funds futures contracts already pricing in a 100% chance of a rate […]
This Is The “Linchpin” For The Dollar
Want a reason to get long USD? You know, besides widening rate differentials? Well how about a better average hourly earnings print in Friday’s February jobs report? That would probably help buoy the greenback. Recall that the average hourly earnings number was the most talked about part of the January jobs report. Indeed, many a […]
Weekend Reading: All Eyes On The Fed
Next week the Janet Yellen and her minions are expected, with 100% certainty, to lift the Fed funds rate by another 0.25% to 1.00%. This certainty has been building as of late given the rise in inflation pressures from higher commodity, particularly oil prices, and still rising health care costs as well as a strong […]
S&P Futures, Global Stocks Jump Ahead Of US Payrolls As Global Bond Rout Continues
European and Asian shares rise along with a jump in S&P futures which are pointing to a solidly green open on US payrolls day. The dollar, trading somewhat weaker against the euro was stronger against the yen, and was on track for its firth week of gains, while the rout in global Treasuries continued following […]
Is The 10-Year Yield At 2.6% A Tipping Point For The Bond Market?
The 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 2.60% on Thursday… again. The benchmark rate reached that level in December (the highest since 2014) following the reflationary wave that followed Donald Trump’s election victory. But yields pulled back in 2017… until yesterday. The 2.60% mark for the 10-year Note has been a talking point for investors […]
Tripping With Microsoft, Nvidia And Advanced Micro, Oh My!
Welcome to the travel edition of the Samadhi Brief…Contributing Authors: John Freeman, Fred McClimans TRIP up on M&A Buzz Travel site TripAdvisor (NASDAQ:TRIP) closed yesterday’s trading session +6.1% after news came out that its Chairman, Greg Maffei, touted M&A attractiveness as a basis for the stock having limited downside. Potential suitors listed were Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), and […]
Crude Oil Elliott Wave View: Bounce Expected Soon
Short term Elliottwave view in Crude Oil (CL_F) suggests that the instrument is currently correcting cycle from 11/14/2016 low (42.21) in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the next leg higher. Revised view suggests the decline starting from 1/3 high (55.24) is unfolding as a Flat Elliottwave structure where Minor wave A ended at 50.71 and Minor wave B ended at […]
US Jobs Data: Deja Vu All Over Again?
A week ago, after nine Fed officials had spoken, the market widely expected Yellen and Fischer to confirm that the table was set for a rate hike later this month. They did, and the dollar and US interest rates fell. Now, after a strong ADP jobs report (298k), everyone recognizes upside risk to today’s national report, […]
