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Archives by Year:
AUD/USD Forecast Dec. 4-8 2017
The Australian dollar managed to stabilize amid OK data. A very busy week awaits the Aussie, including a rate decision and the GDP data. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. Data coming out of Australia was mostly positive: private capital expenditure came out as expected but came with a small upwards […]
Hedge Fund Managers Share 6 Best Investing Ideas For 2018
At this year’s Sohn Investment conference in London, some of the renowned hedge fund managers shared their best ideas about investing next year. According to a report from Financial News London, money managers from Lansdowne Partners, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Andurand Capital, Polygon Global Partners, Bodenholm Capital, and Pelham Capital talked about their investment ideas on technology,stocks, and oil at the conference. […]
December Seasonality And The “Santa Claus Rally”
The “Santa Claus rally” refers to the tendency for the S&P500 to do well in December, and specifically the last part of December. We can assess this quantitatively with the first chart showing the average price experience across the year by trading day – it also shows how 2017 has been tracking against the averages, and so […]
Technical Market Report For December 2, 2017
The good news is: All of the major indices except the Nasdaq composite (OTC) hit all time highs last Thursday. The Negatives The market is overbought. Seasonality for the next 2 weeks is negative. The first chart covers the past 6 months showing the S&P 500 (SPX) in red and a 10% trend (19 day […]
Australian Dollar Downtrend May Pause But Won’t Reverse
Fundamental Australian Dollar Forecast: Neutral AUD/USD remains trapped in long downtrend This week will see the RBA make its December interest rate call, followed by official GDP data Neither is very likely to change the backdrop, but both could Things don’t look great for the Australian Dollar, especially against its big US cousin. AUD/USD has been sliding consistently from the year’s […]
December 2017 Stock Considerations
Here we are entering the home stretch of 2017 and looking back at the last eleven months, one thing is certain… no one predicted a year like this. For all the daily negativity being hyped in the financial, social, political and “fake” media it appears that things have been and will continue to be all […]
Another Record Setting Month On Wall Street – Week In Review
The market remains exceptionally strong as the bulls remain in clear control. Stocks refuse to fall in a meaningful fashion. Every time the market hints at pulling back the bulls show up and send stocks soaring. The two largest “down” days this year happened on June 9 and then last Wednesday, November 27. Both of those […]
NZD/USD Looks To Be Sold Off Too Much; What’s Next? – CIBC
The New Zealand dollar suffered during the latter part of the year due to political fear, especially as Jacinda Ardern was sworn in. But has it gone too far? CIBC FX Strategy Research discusses NZD outlook, noticing that the post NZ election period has seen investors aggressively re-position their NZD bets. Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: […]
Stocks To Trade: MSFT CMG IAC
Take a look at three trading ideas to prep you for the next trading session. Long Microsoft (MSFT) Long Chipotle (CMG) Short InterActive (IAC)
Bitcoin – Millennials’ Fake Gold
I’ve been asked about Bitcoin a lot lately. I’ haven’t written anything about it because I find myself in an uncomfortable place in agreeing with the mainstream media: It’s a bubble. Bitcoin started out as what I’d call “millennial gold” – the young (digital) generation looked at it as their gold substitute. Bitcoin is really […]
