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Archives by Year:
Why Doesn’t The Normal P/E In The Historical Graph Match The Normal P/E In The Forecasting Graph?
The earnings and price correlated historical graph (the main graph) includes forecasting data when you are running timeframes. In contrast, the “Historical” normal P/E ratio forecasting calculator is utilizing only completed historical data. Therefore, in order to get the same normal P/E ratio on both the main graph and the forecasting graph, you have to […]
E The Euro Area’s Economy Continues To Improve, Though There Is Still Considerable Economic Slack
The euro-area economy strengthened in the second quarter as more of its member countries joined into the recovery. The 2.6% annualized rate of expansion in the second quarter was supported by continued growth in Germany (2.5% growth), the region’s largest economy, and the strongest Spanish performance in almost two years (3.5% growth). Indeed, after years […]
Bitcoin: The Extreme Anomaly
After plunging to 3000 six weeks ago, Bitcoin snapped back and reached 6000+ today (a 100% increase during that time), as shown on the following Monthly chart, and, as noted in my last post (originally written on September 4th and updated periodically, with comments and charts, to, and including, today). What strikes me as extraordinary is to see the percentage gained Year-to-date of Bitcoin compared to the U.S. Major Indices, […]
4 Industrial Mutual Funds To Buy As Output Recovers
Industrial production bounced back last month after two consecutive months of decline, following an increase in factory production. The rebound sustained the flow of encouraging economic data in September. Decline in the impact of hurricanes Harvey and Irma in September and recovery in utilities and construction gave a boost to last month’s industrial output. Given […]
Institutions Are Selling To Retail Investors At An Unprecedented Pace
According to the latest EPFR fund flow data compiled by BofA’s Michael Hartnett, the great “institutional to equity” stockholding rotation is accelerating, with another $8.8bn allocated to equities, more than all of it from retail investors, and another $5.8bn going into bonds, offset by a $0.4bn outflows from gold. Ironically, the one place where active investors are […]
No Account
It has been an unbelievably busy week on many fronts. Overshadowed by Chinese leader Xi Jinping and Austrian elections was continued “dollar” deterioration in FX. Further down the line than that, though in many respects related to it, was the UK government announcing the disappearance of half a trillion pounds. The news didn’t make much imprint in America, but it […]
13 Firms Going Ex-Dividend Next Week, Including CVS Health, Clorox And Lowe’s
There are several well known large cap stocks going ex-dividend next week including the following Top 100 Dividend Stock: CVS Health Corp. Ex-dividend dates are important to dividend investors because one must own a stock on its ex-dividend date in order to be eligible to receive its next dividend. Any stock ranked by our team as a Top 100 […]
RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Index Update – Friday, October 20
The latest index reading came in at 22.2, up from 20.3 the previous week. RecessionAlert has launched an alternative to ECRI’s Weekly Leading Index Growth indicator (WLIg). The Weekly Leading Economic Index (WLEI) uses fifty different time series from these categories: Corporate Bond Composite, Treasury Bond Composite, Stock Market Composite, Labor Market Composite, Credit Market Composite. RecessionAlert emphasizes […]
The Limits To Trusting The Robots
After another day on Thursday of stocks starting to look mildly tired – but only mildly – only to rally back to a new closing high, it hardly seems unusual anymore. I have to keep pinching myself, reminding myself that this is historically abnormal. Actually, very abnormal. If the S&P 500 Total Return Index ends […]
September 2017 Headline Existing Home Growth Up?
The headline existing home sales growth slowed with the authors saying “Sales activity likely would have been somewhat stronger if not for the fact that parts of Texas and South Florida – hit by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma – saw temporary, but notable declines”. Our analysis of the unadjusted data strongly disagrees with the headline […]
