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Archives by Year:
GBP: Signs Of Stability Begin To Emerge
Talking Points: With London traders out Monday for a public holiday, the week will start with a whimper. However, it will end with the most important data point of the week, the UK manufacturing PMI. Meanwhile, technically, the British Pound is better placed than it has been for a while. Fundamental Forecast for GBP: Neutral It’s a public holiday in […]
Want To Leverage EM Bond Gains (Or Losses)? Here’s An ETF
The hunt for yields is common in a low rate environment. This holds good for investors in the U.S. market where yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note was hovering around 2.22% as of August 22, 2017, despite two rate hikes this year. As a result, investors turn to emerging market bond ETFs in search […]
Where Do Consumers Spend The Most Money? (Answer Will Likely Surprise You)
In Dealers “Wildly Overweight” SUVs as Sales Slow, I commented “Vehicles account for 20% of retail spending. A crash or even a significant slowdown will impact retail sales and thus GDP.” A reader asked me how I calculated that. Let’s take a look. My number came from the latest Census Department Advance Retail Sales Report. Here are some […]
Trade Day Friday — September Momentum Rankings
Aug 25 was the last Friday in August. Hence, it is a trade day Friday. For backtesting purposes, trade day Fridays are assumed bought. Non trade day Fridays are reported each week although the results are not followed. Although never tested, there should be no reason why any Friday should be preferred over another. Trade […]
Retail Prepares To Resume Downtrend
I had been having a grand old time shorting retailers, but they picked up some serious strength last week. In spite of this, I think the pattern is wholly intact, and the bounce to the neckline merely presents another shorting opportunity. From what I’ve read, next week is seasonally super-bearish, so we’ll see if we […]
Sears Death Spiral Accelerates: Vendors Halt Shipments As Cost Of Default Insurance Soars
When we commented back in March on the unexpected “going concern” notice in Sears’ 10-K which sent the stock crashing, we pointed out the immediate spin provided by Eddie Lampert’s distressed retailer which promised that its comeback plan may help alleviate the concerns, “satisfying our estimated liquidity needs 12 months from the issuance of the financial statements”, […]
Yuan Outlook Mixed On PBOC’s Guidance, Chinese PMI
Fundamental Forecast for CNH: Neutral Asian Stocks, US Dollar Gain As Markets Look To Jackson Hole Debt Ceiling Fears Compete with Jackson Hole for Dollar Bearing The USD/CNH dipped 6.6419, the strongest level for the Yuan since September 15, 2016, following Fed Chair Yellen’s speech at the annual Jackson Hole meetings. The omission on Fed’s monetary policy in […]
Investing In Water – Recent Investment August 2017
I am still busy with investing in stocks, ETF’s, p2p lending etc. Although I said for the rest of the year I will concentrate more on investing on ETF’s I invested again in a European company. My last investment does not really fit into my dividend strategy. Although the company has a dividend yield of 4.1% I […]
Turkish Delight: Trading ‘The Great British Selloff’ Again
Amid the trials and tribulation of the greenback, it’s worth keeping the pound in your thoughts and prayers, because it too is having some trouble. Right up until the bearish dollar sentiment that accompanied Yellen’s comments in Jackson Hole helped the pound turn things around, sterling was on pace for its fourth straight week of […]
