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Archives by Year:
Chasing The Elusive Riyal In Qatar
Let’s talk about Qatar and more specifically about the riyal, which is of course pegged to the dollar at 3.64. Back in June, Saudi Arabia cobbled together a coalition of Arab states and moved to scapegoat Doha for what, if everyone is being honest, has always been a group effort to support Sunni extremism. Pretty much immediately […]
USD/CAD Forecast Nov. 27 – Dec. 1 2017
Dollar/CAD traded in a range amid mixed movements from oil prices and from local data. The upcoming week features the all-important OPEC meetings, a speech by Poloz, and GDP. Here are the highlights and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD. The price of oil resumed its rally, with WTI topping $58. However, Canada’s domestic data was quite […]
The End Of Net Neutrality Could Be Good For Marketers — And Bad For Almost Everyone Else
The Federal Communications Commission announced that it will vote on December 14 to enact the exceptionally misleadingly titled “Restoring Internet Freedom” order. If passed, it will do the opposite of restoring anything resembling freedom — it will repeal the current net neutrality rules which were enacted to ensure that Americans would have equal access […]
Why You Should Be Holding Chinese Equities
In a recent piece, I made the case for investing in emerging markets. Upon further reflection and research, I make a more specific recommendation: you should hold Chinese equities in your portfolio. Details of my reasoning and specific investment suggestions follow. Do GDP Growth Rates Matter When Buying Equities? Intuitively, one might think, ceteris paribus, that […]
Euro Continues To Push Higher
The euro is edging higher to trade at its best levels since the middle of last month. It is drawing closer to the $1.1880 area, which if overcome, could point to a return to the year’s high seen in early September near $1.2100. There is a combination of factors lifting the euro. The recent data, including yesterday’s […]
The Long View With Projections
On this quiet holiday weekend, I thought I’d share a couple of very long-term charts. Here’s the Dow 30 featuring Fibonacci retracements and a projection. As you can see, the projection has been exceeded (see inset); in the normal world, this is called a “failure”, but in the world of charting, it’s a “throwover.” A similar study is […]
Bitcoin Tops $9,300 Amid “Extinction-Level Event For Banks…And Maybe Governments Too”
Bitcoin has continued to soar intraday – now topping $9,300 – with a total market cap over $156 billion, leaving the cryptocurrency worth more than Merck, Disney, and GE. Coinivore notes that the digital currency, once a toy for computer nerds, is now soaring in price, triggering a new gold rush. Is it just another bubble, or a […]
Weighing The Week Ahead: What Are The Chances For Tax Cuts?
The economic calendar has plenty of news, including most of the big reports except employment. Despite this, I expect many to be asking: what are the chances for tax cuts? Last Week Recap In the last edition of WTWA I suggested that Black Friday news would be the most important story, with plenty of speculation from people […]
Retail Industry Index Providing The Next Long
The S&P Retail Industry Index comprises stocks in the S&P Total Market Index that are classified in the GICS retail sub-industry. For this article we’ll be using The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) which tracks an equal-weighted index of stocks in the US retail industry and correspond generally to the total return performance of the S&P Retail Select Industry Index. The performance of XRT […]
