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Market Talk – Monday, December 4
Asian markets were unsure how to respond to the weekend news of the US tax move. Whilst it was assumed the move was positive news for US futures markets, it is not necessarily good news for its competitors. The realisation that cash is now being beckoned by US markets, others realise they will be forced […]
Bullish Trade Setups Should This Rally Continue
Bullish trade setups to start December Friday stunk with ABC’s erroneous news report that dropped the Dow nearly 400 points in just a few minutes, and then today you had the huge gap higher, which gave everyone warm and fuzzy feelings all around, only to see the market sell off the hype and in particular […]
Brexit Talks Halt Rise In 6B
As spot forex traders we often neglect to consider the futures market for a view on market sentiment, which is a great shame because often the futures market can be ahead of the curve, and given the importance of this week for the Brexit negotiations now may be a good time to see what […]
Manufacturing ISM Report Shows Deceleration
Italian Election Sees Surge In Right Wing Populism With the Italian election coming in March, we’ve discussed how a win by an unstable political party could be particularly harmful to Italian bonds because the ECB will be cutting its bond buying in half. Since the last time we’ve check on Italian politics, the trend towards […]
Transitory?
The FOMC is holding its next regular policy meeting next week. It is widely expected that on December 13 the Federal Reserve’s policy body will vote and publicize the next “rate hike” in its exit strategy. Starting in December 2015, this next one, if it happens, will be the fifth in the series. It would […]
AUD/USD Pre RBA Levels
The Australian dollar will be in focus tonight with PMIs, retail sales and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s monetary policy announcement on the calendar. We are looking for slightly stronger data and unchanged policy guidance but that may not do much for the currency. Taking a look at how Australia’s economy performed since the last […]
Senate Passes Tax Bill: 5 ETFs To Buy Now
Trump scored a first major legislative win after more than 10 months in office following the Senate’s approval of the biggest U.S. tax overhaul in three decades “Tax Cuts and Jobs Act,” with a 51-49 vote. The move has brought Republicans closer to finalizing the $1.5 trillion tax reform by the end of the year. […]
Pakistan’s Disunion Puts Investment At Risk
Jihadism has been radiating out of Pakistan for decades and causing problems for the country’s relationships with other governments. Lately, however, it’s been Pakistan itself that is suffering from its homegrown Islamism. The country was founded on a contradiction between secularism and Islamism, and though it has covered up its incoherence, it has never overcome […]
Microsoft Plunges Most In 18 Months As Tech Wreck Escalates
Microsoft is down almost 4% – the biggest drop since June 2016 – filling the gap from earnings as the entire tech space is coming under serious pressure in this low-high tax rotation. No, there is no MSFT-specific news or catalyst… FANGs, Semis, and the broad tech sector are in trouble… As the low-to-high tax company […]
E The Oil Price Impact On Canada’s Currency Has Weakened Since The Central Bank Started Raising Interest Rates
“The Canadian dollar’s link with crude has been falling sharply since the end of June, spurred by the central bank raising interest rates for the first time since 2010. The currency’s 90-day correlation with WTI crude is now at the lowest level in almost three years.” (Bloomberg News, October 24, 2017.) World oil prices have […]
