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Archives by Year:
PCE Price Index: December Headline & Core
The BEA’s Personal Income and Outlays report for December was published this morning by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The latest Headline PCE price index was up 0.11% month-over-month (MoM) and is up 1.70% year-over-year (YoY). The latest Core PCE index (less Food and Energy) came in at 0.18% MoM and 1.52% YoY. Core PCE remains below […]
Thawed Out
Commodities are on fire as the economy in the U.S. leads the world in a commodity consuming growth period. Lumber surged to all-time highs and industrial metals are strong as manufacturing and factory growth around the globe is strong. Oil prices are pulling back after a rise in the rig count even though it’s making […]
The Fed Will Ignite The Next “Financial Crisis”
There seems to be a very large consensus the markets have entered into a “permanently high plateau,” or an era in which price corrections in asset prices have been effectively eliminated through fiscal and monetary policy. Partnering with this fairytale-like mindset is an overwhelming sense of complacency. Throughout the entire monetary ecosystem, there is a rising consensus […]
More New Record Highs, But Bull Market May Die On That Euphoria
The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.9% and 1.3% on Friday, extending their uptrend despite worse-than-expected advance GDP number release, as investors’ sentiment remained very bullish. The S&P 500 index has reached new record high at the level of 2,872.87. It broke above its Wednesday’s high of 2,852.97. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has […]
Will Defensive, Anti-Momentum Strategies Rise Up In 2018?
One of the more interesting things that happened in asset management in 2017 regarded factors. While the concept of factors associated with risk-adjusted outperformance has existed for decades, in 2017 investors saw the ability to allocate either to individual factors or to multifactor strategies enter the mainstream in a big way. Investors will likely continue to evaluate different factors […]
3 Best JP Morgan Mutual Funds To Consider
JPMorgan is one of the best financial management companies in the world. It has a legacy of investment management since 1865. Also, JPMorgan is the eighth-largest mutual fund firm in the United States and prides itself as the nation’s leader in equity fund flows. JPMorgan offers managed accounts and retirement products. The company pioneered the […]
E If Only The U.S. Administration Understood How The Balance Of Payments Works
U.S. international economic policy entered into a new aggressive phase last week. Initially, the Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin, called for a weaker U.S. dollar as a major tool to reduce the U.S. trade deficit. Then, the U.S. Administration introduced new tariffs on solar panels and washing machines. U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Wilbur Ross, raised the […]
Merger Monday: Keurig Green Mountain Buys Dr Pepper Snapple
It’s Merger Monday time: Dr Pepper Snapple Group and Keurig Green Mountain announced that the two companies will merge to create Keurig Dr Pepper, “a new beverage company of scale with a portfolio of iconic consumer brands and unrivaled distribution capability to reach virtually every point-of-sale in North America.” The merger will combine such brands as […]
US Dollar-Rally Could Start Here After Rare Decline
The US Dollar has experienced a decline over the past 13-months that hasn’t happened many times in the past 10-years. Below looks at King Dollar’s performance over the past 13-months (upper left) at (1), reflecting that it has declined nearly 13% in that time frame. This large of a decline has taken place just three times in […]
Morning Call For Monday, January 29
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH18 -0.26%) this morning are down -0.23% as they retreated from a new record nearest-futures high in overnight trade after rising T-note yields undercut stock prices. The 10-year T-note yield jumped to a 3-3/4 year high of 2.72% ahead of President Trump’s State of the Union address Tuesday night and the […]
