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Archives by Year:
Will Interest Payments Take Up The Entire Federal Budget?
Greg Ip gave us another rendition of this old scare story in a Wall Street Journal column. The argument is that the interest paid on U.S. government debt will soon impose an enormous burden on the federal government, choking off spending on important government programs. The key part of this story is that interest rates will […]
Rail Week Ending March 2018: Rate Of Growth Declines
Week 12 of 2018 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) improved according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR) traffic data. The rolling averages growth rate declined. Analyst Opinion of the Rail Data We review this data set to understand the economy. If coal and grain are removed from the analysis […]
Research Review | 30 March 2018 | Portfolio Analysis
Factor Momentum Robert D. Arnott (Research Affiliates), et al. January 31, 2018Past industry returns predict the cross section of industry returns, and this predictability is at its strongest at the one-month horizon (Moskowitz and Grinblatt 1999). We show that the cross section of factor returns shares this property, and that industry momentum stems from factor […]
WTI Crude Oil And Natural Gas Forecast – Friday, March 30
WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market had a choppy session on Thursday, going back and forth during the day, essentially doing nothing. The market is trying to stabilize a bit, but I think that we have a couple of noisy days ahead of us. There seems to be more of an upward pressure […]
USD/CAD Daily Analysis – Friday, March 30
USD/CAD failed to break above 1.2948 resistance and stays in a trading range between 1.2814 and 1.2948. Another rise to test 1.2948 resistance is possible, a breakout of this level could bring price to 1.3000, followed by 1.3124. Support is at 1.2803, only a breakdown below this level could trigger another fall towards 1.2650.
Managing Debt Vulnerabilities In Low-Income And Developing Countries
from the International Monetary Fund — this post authored by Tao Zhang Government debt in some of the world’s poorest countries is rising to risky levels, a new IMF report shows. The report looks at economic developments and prospects among the world’s low-income countries, which account for a fifth of the world’s population but only four percent of […]
Bulls Try To Stabilize Market
Tuesday’s sell-off did much to rattle the confidence of bulls; Thursday’s attempt to bid markets back to Tuesday’s highs lacked confidence as demonstrated by the relative gain and the lighter volume. Friday is an opportunity to give markets a little boost heading into the Easter weekend.Futures suggest a positive open so it will be a […]
‘Global Synchronous Recovery’ Narrative Crushed As EU, US Data Diverge
The chart below shows the Citi Economic Surprise Index for the US, compared against the broader G10 index, and the Europe index. The outperformance of US positive data surprises is stark… highlighting the dramatically non-synchornized nature of global growth. CitiFX senior trader Andrew Grosso warned that we need to pay attention to the short-term on […]
EUR/USD: Markets Ready To Short The Euro
Previous: On Thursday the 29th of March, trading on the EUR/USD pair closed slightly down. The US dollar gained ground against the single currency as traders adjusted their open positions ahead of the long weekend. The rate ended up dropping to 1.2284. US data: Michigan consumer sentiment index (Mar): 101.4 (forecast: 102.0, previous: 102.0). Personal income […]
Biotech Bull Market Intact Despite Shaky Start
Biotech Bull Market Is Intact with Unusual Volatility Biotech Stocks Will Try to Regain Bullish Footing After A Flat First Quarter Technicals at Low End But Get Support From Double Bottom Time for Nibbling or Trading with Caution Biotech stocks got roughed up in the first quarter of 2018 with unusual volatility and peak prices […]
