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Archives by Year:
The Stock Market Leads Inflation In Extreme Movements
The stock market leads inflation in big movements May support theories about expected inflation rather than actual inflation has the main impact “In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” – Benjamin Graham
Best And Worst Forex And Commodity Performers In March (Seasonality)
Here are the currencies and commodities that do well or poorly in March, historically. Statistics include how often the prices rise or fall, and by how much, on average. Tickers mentioned: USDMXN, USDCAD, Oil (CL, USO), Natural Gas (NG, UNG), Corn (ZC, CORN), Gold (GC, GLD), Coffee (KC, JO), and Sugar (SB, SGG). Statistics are […]
Lackluster ISM Survey Stands Little Chance Of Derailing EUR/USD Losses
Trading the News: U.S. ISM Manufacturing A minor downward revision in the U.S. ISM Manufacturing survey may do little to curb the recent decline in EUR/USD as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) appears to be on course to deliver a March rate-hike. The U.S. dollar remains bid following the testimony from Chairman Jerome Powell, and the greenback may […]
Chart Predicts Every Market Crash In History
The Fed blows bubbles. Then it eventually pops them. Where are we in the cycle? Bill Bonner writes This Has Predicted Every Market Crash in History. I recreated the chart in Fred and added trendlines. But let’s tune in to Bill Bonner. “Buy the dip” has worked for the last 38 years. And now, investors are […]
Economics For Independent Thinkers
Economists are supposed to monitor and analyze the economy, warn us if risks are getting out of hand, and advise us on how to make things run more effectively — right? Well, even though that’s what most people expect from economists, it’s not at all how they see their role, warns CFA and behavioral economist Daniel […]
January Goods Trade Balance Dives
Figure 1: Goods trade balance (blue), and trade balance (red), in billions of $, SAAR. Orange shading denotes 2017M01-onward. Source: BEA/Census, author’s calculations. I think I’ve had enough of “winning so much”.
Stocks To Trade: ADSK, AMAT, FMC
Thursday’s stock picks Long Autodesk (ADSK) Long Applied Materials (AMAT) Short FMC Corp (FMC)
Gold Remains Under Pressure
Gold prices ended Wednesday’s session nearly unchanged after shuffling between gains and losses following the sharp drop seen on Tuesday. The market continued to digest Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony that revived fears about more interest-rate increases than expected this year. The Fed is expected to push through the first rate increase of 2018 at […]
The US Currency Continued To Grow
Yesterday, the US dollar continued to strengthen against the basket of the major currencies. The Fed`s Chairman Jerome Powell`s speech continues to support the US currency towards the Congress, which was held on Tuesday. The official said that the Federal Reserve will continue to gradually increase the interest rate in order to maintain stable economic […]
