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Archives by Year:
Lockup Could Swing Switch Lower
The 180-day lockup period for Switch (SWCH) ends on April 16, 2018. When this six-month period concludes, the company’s pre-IPO shareholders and insiders will have the ability to sell large blocks of currently restricted shares. The potential for an increase in the volume of shares traded on the secondary market could negatively impact the stock price […]
High Wages Versus High Savings In A Globalized World
Democracies will increasingly have to choose between raising wages and redistributing income or maintaining free trade and capital flows. Because they are likely to choose the former, the world may face a long-term reversal of globalization. Investment-driven growth can broadly occur in the form of one of two models, each with a different way of […]
Regression To Trend: Another Look At Long-Term Market Performance – Tuesday, April 3
Quick take: At the end of March the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 index price was 112% above its long-term trend, down from 114% the previous month. About the only certainty in the stock market is that, over the long haul, over performance turns into underperformance and vice versa. Is there a pattern to this movement? Let’s apply […]
Q1 Market Update: Sometimes Risk Assets Go Down…
Q1 Wrap Up The 1st quarter saw a return of volatility,ending a 9 quarter win streak. Most asset classes finished lower for the quarter, led by the aggregate bond index. Emerging markets and small caps finished positive. Diversification works over time, that much we do know. However, that doesn’t mean it works every day, month, […]
Top 5 Charts Of The Week – Tuesday, April 3
In this video we run through the weekly email newsletter “The Top 5 Charts of the Week” and add a bit of extra comments and context. In this week’s edition we look at the astonishing rise in leverage in the stock market, we then see how institutional investors appear to be “buying the dip” based […]
Global Growth Little Changed Despite Heightened Policy Uncertainty
from the Dallas Fed — this post authored by Kelvinder Virdi Global real gross domestic product (GDP) growth decreased from 3.5 percent on a year-over-year basis in third quarter 2017 to 3.4 percent in fourth quarter 2017.[ 1] Risks to the global outlook remain tilted to the downside as trade policy changes and the specter […]
Tesla Q1 Deliveries: What Gives?
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) reports a production total of 34,494 vehicles in Q1. The tally included 24,728 Model S and Model X vehicles, and 9,766 Model 3s. The company says that in the past seven days it produced 2,020 Model S vehicles, lower than its 2.5K target set earlier. “In the next seven days, we expect to […]
Tesla & Amazon Face Headline Risks
TSLA Has A Terrible Weekend There are many acronyms to describe the large momentum tech names. One of those is TFAANG. That one includes AMZN and TSLA. While there weren’t any earnings reports during the holiday weekend, there were prominent tweets from Elon Musk and President Trump which affected stocks. Tesla’s CEO jokingly tweeted that […]
The Expected US Economic Growth Rate Is Back Down To The 2% Level
The charts don’t look negative enough to motivate me to sell, but, then again, I am not feeling the urge to buy this dip. I suspect most people feel the same. Sector Strength Below is my spreadsheet of the major ETFs and their relative strength scores. I believe in owning the leaders, although that belief […]
USD/JPY – Is The Bottom In?
USD/JPY has been in a three-day sell-off driven lower by risk aversion flows, but today the pair has managed to stage a comeback and is closing well above the 106.00 level. The markets appear to have stabilized after yet another wave of Trump rants on twitter and traders will now likely focus on the […]
