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Archives by Year:
Goodbye To The Quarter From Hell
Well that was some quarter! Call it the quarter from hell. For as long as most traders and investors can remember, they are losing money so far this year. And they promised us such a rose garden! The S&P 500 made a valiant, and so far successful effort to hold at the 200-day moving average […]
The Market Beatings Shall Continue
Video length: 00:17:31 Stocks take a beating as strong selling grips the market. In this video newsletter update we look at what to expect the rest of the week and how you should prepare yourself. Watch this video now because the market action this week may rip your trading account apart if you’re not prepared…
AUD/USD To Eye Fresh 2018-Lows On Wait-And-See RBA
TRADING THE NEWS: RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA (RBA) INTEREST RATE DECISION The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision may keep AUD/USD under pressure as the central bank remains in no rush to lift the cash rate off of the record-low. The RBA may stick to the current script as ‘inflation remains low, with […]
Market Talk – Monday, April 2
Many expected a quiet session for markets today given the Easter holidays, but the reaction to US/China trade tensions over the weekend has ruffled a few US Traders! Having seen the Q1 closing rally last week, we are back to pressure and the tech sector taking the hit yet again. The major contributors to the […]
Monday’s Meltdown Was Rough, But Not A Death Blow
If it seems like the market is trying to frustrate you by making it impossible to handicap, that’s because it is. That certainly didn’t change with Monday’s action, when a little bit of trade war news was enough to pull the rug out from underneath the market and let it slide below the key 200-day […]
Blog Traffic Picks Up As Bears Take Control
Blog traffic has doubled over the last three days as ‘panic reading’ takes hold of the market. Such spikes in readership have in the past acted as good points for a near-term bottom, although today’s action does not suggest as such. The S&P and Dow Jones both offered breakdowns from their respective ‘bear flags’. The S&P […]
What Do The Dividends Of Paychex, Inc. Say About Its Fair Value?
Paychex, Inc. (Nasdaq: PAYX) currently pays a dividend yield of 3.2% which is above the Information Technology sector median of 1.7%. While this makes the total return potential for Paychex attractive, investors may change their mind when analyzing the company’s future dividends. In this article, I calculate Paychex’s fair value by forecasting its dividend distributions and […]
2.4% GDP Growth Predicted For Q1 2018
ECRI Index Declines Slightly As you can see from the chart below, the weekly ECRI index’s growth rate fell slightly from 5.4% to 5.2%. The longer it stays in the mid single digits, the better. This implies the 2nd half of 2018 will see strong economic growth as there will be a re-acceleration after a modest […]
Document Study
But I don’t get to watch much television. Primarily because of documents. I’m reading documents. A lot. — Donald Trump, ca. November On Monday morning, it kinda seems like maybe the President eschewed his traditional “document study” time in favor of a heavy dose of Fox News, because what emanated from his Twitter feed starting promptly […]
Did China Really Win, Or Did Everyone Lose?
Of all the economic accounts where last year’s big tropical storms would have had the greatest impact, any substantial boost in construction spending made the most sense. What is destroyed is most often quickly rebuilt, particularly in the public arena. One of the core functions of local government is infrastructure, and no local politician can […]
