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Archives by Year:
E Despite Concerns Over The Possibility Of A Trade War, The Global Expansion Continues To Strengthen
“The global economy has continued to move forward with what has been, so far, a synchronized global economic expansion with few notable exceptions, i.e., Venezuela. While reflecting the improvement in global economic growth, more and more central banks in the developed world are starting to follow the U.S. Federal Reserve in raising interest rates.” (Wells […]
Market Talk – Thursday, April 19
A solid day for Asia with the broad based rally carrying all markets higher. Confidence gained from strong earnings, better data than US markets had expected and energy prices rallying over 3% all helped to produce a positive day. The Nikkei gave-up the mornings highs and drifted in afternoon trade but still gained +0.15% for […]
3 Mutual Funds To Make Good As The Tax Season Wraps Up
Tax Day should have been Apr 17 this year. But, the IRS has given taxpayers an additional day to file and pay returns after the webpage for paying tax bills using their bank account crashed. Tax Day has always been special for the stock market. Estimates are that 15% to 33% of all tax filers […]
Banks & Bitcoin Bounce As Stocks & Bonds Are Trounced
Rates rip higher and the curve steepens dramatically; stocks tumble, semis suck, tech stumbles, banks burst higher; industrial commodities jump; and the dollar spikes – in other words – it’s opposite day. Futures show US equities stable and positive for most of the Asia session but begin to lose steam as Europe opened, accelerate lower […]
Vehicle Miles Traveled: Another Look At Our Evolving Behavior – Thursday, April 19
The Department of Transportation’s Federal Highway Commission has released the latest report on Traffic Volume Trends, data through February. “Travel on all roads and streets changed by -0.1% (-0.2 billion vehicle miles) for February 2018 as compared with February 2017. Travel for the month is estimated to be 226.7 billion vehicle miles.” The 12-month moving average was […]
Annual, Annualized, Q4/Q4 Growth Rates: A Graphical Depiction
Why do reported growth rates differ for the same variable? Refer to the last three years of GDP data to see… Figure 1: Quarterly GDP, SAAR, FRED series GDPC1 (blue line), annual, FRED series GDPCA (green bars), in billions of Chained 2009$. 2017 q4/q4 growth rate (red arrow); annual 2017 y/y growth rate (green arrow); 2017Q4 […]
Warning: Stay Away From Housing Stocks
I’d say short the blasted things, but they have earnings next week and a slew of housing numbers coming out, as well. And that is simply too risky to be taking a short position on. If you are associated with the home building process in any way, except for the being the bank itself, your […]
Fed’s “Wealth Effect” = Total Bust For The Middle Class
The Federal Reserve has been determined to create “Wealth Effects” throughout the economy since 2008, which has left the majority of Main Street on the sidelines. The Fed’s objective was to make American households feel wealthier by pushing up the valuations of stocks and bonds. However, this paper wealth mentality has worked beautifully for Wall […]
Bitcoin Back In Its Bull Market In 2018, This Is Why
Who noticed this one tiny thing on Bitcoin’s price chart: the rounded bottom in March/April of 2018? It is a small but extremely powerful signal, and it suggests that Bitcoin is back in a bull market in 2018! Many try to make cryptocurrency investing decisions very complicated, yes overcomplicated and noisy. Some refer to news articles, […]
