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Archives by Year:
Acacia Communications: A Cautionary Tale Of Early Secondaries And A Concentrated Customer Base
About 18 months ago, I made a bearish case for Acacia Communications (ACIA) based on the timing, pricing, and nature of a secondary stock offering that was sandwiched between ACIA’s optimistic earnings guidance and subsequent news that major customer ZTE Corp. significantly reduced its guidance. The stock has never been the same and has drifted lower ever […]
Dollar Tone Improves
The US dollar was broadly higher last week. It seemed as if the inexorable rise in US interest rates may be beginning to give it some traction. The US 10-year yield made a marginal new four-year high, creeping closer to 3%, while the US premium over Germany surpassed 300 bp for the first time. The Dollar Index’s […]
E China’s Slow But Steady Rebalancing Of Its Economy
“Rebalancing remains at the forefront of Chinese and global policy debates…Notwithstanding the rise in global trade protectionism, the somewhat forgotten news these days is that there has been a large correction in China’s current account surplus, which has averaged a rather modest 1.9% of GDP over the past five years, compared to a peak of […]
VIX Declines To Cycle Low While SPX Breaks Trendline
VIX declined to a late Master Cycle low on April 17, then proceeded to rally above Intermediate-term support at 16.81. VIX is now on a buy signal. (ZeroHedge) When Morgan Stanley’s chief equity strategist Michael Wilson released his 2018 equity outlook earlier this year, one particular observation struck us: a curious correlation between volatility and the […]
Saturday Charts-Check
Last week started strong with new highs outnumbering new lows by good margins. Those numbers deteriorated through the week ending with new lows outnumbering new highs by significant margins. – From Mike Burk’s weekly blog I don’t like stocks at the moment, and the two charts below show the major reason why. Volume is with […]
5 Top Earnings Growth Stocks For A Winning Portfolio
As we have entered the Q1 reporting cycle, seasoned investors will be on the lookout for stocks with steadfast earnings growth. After all, if the company doesn’t make money, it won’t last over the long haul. Consider a company’s revenues over a stipulated time frame, subtract the cost of production and you have earnings. This […]
CoT Weekly Update, Peek Into Future Through Futures
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 17, 2018. 10-year note Currently net short 371.7k, up 41.1k. The Treasury yield curve once again is the talk of the town. The yield spread between 10- and two-year notes fell to 41 basis points Tuesday.This was the lowest since October 2007. It closed the week […]
A Terrible Thursday Falls On Friday
The problems of Deutsche Bank (DB), which fired its own Herr Mueller last week, are not yet at an end. Yesterday an erroneous transfer from the German bank to an outside account went out, to pay the equivalent $35 billion. The recipient was honest and told the bank about the money received so it could […]
EC Market Notes: Stock Market Breadth Indications And Allocation Opinion
The investment media is swirling with anxious prognostications about whether a recession and a Bear market in stocks are near. We received several calls and emails about that. Here is our opinion. We are in a late stage of this market, perhaps in the 11th hour. The US stock market is historically expensive with significant […]
