Archives by Month:
- November 2024
- October 2024
- September 2024
- August 2024
- July 2024
- June 2024
- May 2024
- April 2024
- March 2024
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- October 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- July 2017
- June 2017
- May 2017
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
- August 2015
- July 2015
- June 2015
- May 2015
- April 2015
- March 2015
- February 2015
- January 2015
- December 2014
- November 2014
- October 2014
- September 2014
- August 2014
- July 2014
- June 2014
- May 2014
- April 2014
- March 2014
- February 2014
- January 2014
- December 2013
- November 2013
- October 2013
- September 2013
- August 2013
- July 2013
- June 2013
- May 2013
- April 2013
- March 2013
- February 2013
- January 2013
- November 2012
- October 2012
- August 2012
- July 2012
- June 2012
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- April 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- November 2010
- October 2010
- September 2010
- August 2010
- July 2010
- June 2010
- May 2010
- April 2010
- March 2010
- February 2010
- January 2010
- December 2009
- November 2009
- October 2009
- September 2009
- August 2009
- June 2009
- April 2009
- February 2009
- December 2008
- November 2008
- October 2008
- August 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
Archives by Year:
GBP/USD Weekly Analysis – Sunday, April 15
GBP/USD is facing 1.4345 resistance. A breakout of this level would indicate that the uptrend from 1.1946 (Oct 7, 2016 low) has resumed, then next target would be at 1.5000 area. Support levels are at 1.3950 and 1.3711, only a break below these levels could signal completion of the uptrend.
Why You Shouldn’t Trust The Gap On Monday
In Thursday’s commentary I suggested that the market would follow any big reaction to the XLF ETF and suggested the following course of action should a big move occur. “So how should you use this opportunity to have one day potentially tell us so much about the market, based on one simple ETF? Carefully – […]
CBO Budget Projections Worsen At Alarming Rate
The CBO projects trillion dollar deficits by 2020 and 2 trillion by 2028. Long History of Growing Debt The Bipartisan Policy Center reports Trillion Dollar Deficits Coming Soon. Here’s Why It Matters. When CBO published its mid-2017 update, the projections were far from rosy. The combination of the baby boomers phasing into retirement and ever rising […]
AUD/USD Forecast Apr. 16-20 – A Bit Overbought, Jobs In The Limelight
The Australian dollar advanced nicely as trade came back to fashion once again. The upcoming week features the RBA minutes, Australian jobs and the Chinese GDP. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. Australia needs flowing trade to flourish. After China and the US moved from trade wars to pleasantries, […]
Citi: “There Is A Massive Problem” With The Bond Market
Is the global economic recovery over? That is the question investors are grappling with just as Q1 earnings season – the best since 2011 with its 18% Y/Y expected EPS growth – enters its busiest week yet. Meanwhile, as discussed here extensively in recent weeks, over the past two months economic data from around the globe, but […]
COT Report: Speculators Buy The Euro And Sell The Us Dollar
Relative to recent history, this week’s Commitments of Traders Report contains few notable changes. Looking at the data, the most significant moves include rising net long positions in the euro and falling net long positions in the Australian dollar. Changes in other currencies and commodities were relatively modest. On the bullish side, speculators continue to […]
E A US-China Trade Deal Is Coming
Some people believe that President Trump is so incompetent that none of his initiatives can yield anything positive for the U.S. Leaving aside that his policies have already helped facilitate lower unemployment and higher wages, it appears that his threat to place tariffs on Chinese imports has yielded positive results. As a result, my April 3 […]
Gold Flyin’ ‘n Dyin’ By The Tweet
As we put fingers to keys here in pre-dawn San Francisco, it’s been some 10 hours since the US/UK/France surgically precise strike on chemical facilities in Syria. To what extent there is a Russia et alia response remains in the balance. The effect on Gold, be it bought, ignored or sold, we’ll see when the new week […]
Forex Forecast: Pairs In Focus – April 15
In my previous piece last week, the only call I made was long GBP/USD. This obviously worked out well, as the currency pair rose by 1.11% over the week. Last week again saw a still-volatile stock market where the S&P 500 ranged above a supportive 200-day simple moving average. The steady fall in stock valuations […]
Ethereum: The Great Bull Market Resumes, Expect Higher Prices In 2018
The Ethereum bull market is set to resume. Why do we think so? Very simply, cryptocurrencies in general have stopped their selloff right at secular support levels, and, Ethereum in particular, is doing so in a textbook fashion. The daily price chart of Ethereum embedded below makes the point. In the last 12 months we have […]
