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Archives by Year:
The Budget Deficit Won’t Affect Stocks This Year
In a previous article, I discussed the CBO’s projection for a 96% public debt to GDP ratio by 2028. It was the catalyst for a modest decline in stocks that afternoon. It’s a weird response because the deficit projections for the next 10 years have little impact on the hour by hour trading. Sometimes the […]
Here Are The Biggest Risks Facing Tech
Obviously, regulatory risk has grabbed the spotlight in tech of late. I’ve written so much about this over the past two months I’m having a hard time going back and digging up all of the posts, but here are a couple of notables, with the last one documenting the bloodbath that unfolded in the sector […]
What Lies Ahead For France ETFs?
The French economy grew slower than estimated, per the Bank of France, primarily owing to a slowdown in manufacturing activity. The bank’s lower growth estimate for the first quarter is indicative of a somewhat broader slowdown in the Euro zone. European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Benoit Coeure thinks the Euro bloc is witnessing […]
Russia Stocks Crashing – Buy Opportunity Of 2018
The Russian stock market lost 10 percent this week. That may or may not be called a crash. Regardless, it was all over the news. InvestingHaven is on record calling this a a long term buy opportunity. Let’s face it. Who dares to buy this Russian market after doing some research which reveals the following […]
Comovement In Economic Policy Uncertainty
Reader Ed Hanson makes a puzzling assertion regarding trade policy measures announced by Mr. Trump, and the evolution of policy uncertainty as measured by Baker, Bloom and Davis: As for the uncertainty, I can not make your author’s calculation but I can look at the front page of the policyuncertainty.com site and look at the headline monthly index they present. […]
How To Think About Unsustainable Returns
What a difference nine years makes. On March 9, 2009, the market capitalization of Apple, Google (now Alphabet), Amazon, and Microsoft stood at $74 billion, $92 billion, $26 billion, and $135 billion. Their combined market cap: $327 billion. Data Source for all charts/tables herein: YCharts. Nine years later these four companies would grow to become […]
Why Be Long Term Bearish On Markets?
In this crucial weekend video newsletter update we go through the case to be bearish and how you can protect your life savings and even profit from another downside move in the market. If you didn’t capitalize on the trading opportunities last week then watch this video right now for the trading opportunities next week.
Global Risk Radar – A Look Across Economies And Markets
In this video we talk through the global risk radar, at the risks on the economic front, examining the stage of the business cycle and monetary policy in developed economies and emerging economies. Finally we get into the risks and opportunities across the major asset classes, taking a close look at unexpected risks within traditional […]
Yuan Risk Remains Elevated Amid US, China Seeking Trade Allies, 1Q GDP
Fundamental Forecast for CNH: Neutral China’s Foreign Minister will attend the China-Japan Economic Dialogue in Tokyo, after it suspended for 8-years. China has been strengthening connections with other neighboring countries since the end of March. China will release 2018’1Q Gross Domestic Product as well as March Fixed Assets Investments. The Chinese Yuan rose against the U.S. Dollar this […]
8 Reasons To Hold Cash
Over the last several weeks I have been addressing the potential for a reflexive rally from market support. I laid out three possible paths for the rally which I want to review. Let’s step back to March 23. Nearly a month later, and we are watching the “pathways” play out very close to our “guess.” “With the breakdown of the […]
