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Archives by Year:
Crude Oil Bulls Have A Banner Week As Reasons To Be Long Multiply
Fundamental Forecast for USOIL: Bullish Talking Points: Crude set for biggest weekly gain since July on escalating geopolitical risks, demand premium EIA data took a back seat to geopolitical risks that took Crude to highest levels since Dec. 2014 Per BHI, U.S. Oil Rig Count rises 7 to 815, US Total Rig Count at 1,008 IGCS shows […]
Hong Kong Monetary Authority Fails To Rescue Dollar For Third Day
For the third day in a row, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) intervened in the FX markets and for the 3rd day in a row, failed to lift the Hong Kong Dollar off the lower limit of its peg band. As Yicai Global reports, HKMA’s weak-side convertibility undertaking of HKD7.85 against the dollar was triggered […]
Market Volatility And A Very Busy Week In Washington
A conciliatory tone on trade from both China and the US as well as easing fears around a military escalation stemming from Syria’s apparent chemical attack led to rising stock prices. Tech stocks got a boost from well-received testimony from Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg, though many officials cited the need for increased regulatory oversight of […]
Hong Kong, China, And The Nightmare Of Forex Piles
Very early on in the turn, I mean very early, you could already tell there were substantial problems underneath. By the time CNY started lower, against all expectations, there had already been serious signs of trouble in China for months by then. In that initial seemingly minor drop in early 2014, the PBOC’s actions belied a stable […]
Job Openings & Labor Turnover: Clues To The Business Cycle – April 13
The latest JOLTS report (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary), with data through February, is now available. The first chart below shows four of the headline components of the overall series, which the BLS began tracking in December 2000. The time frame is quite limited compared to the main BLS data series in the monthly employment report, […]
S&P 500 Snapshot: Down 2% From Last Week, 1.5% YTD
The S&P 500 seemingly climbed back up this week, but closed 2% lower than last Friday. The index is down 1.5% YTD and is 7.5% below its record close. The U.S. Treasury puts the closing yield on the 10-year note at 2.82%. Here is a daily chart of the S&P 500. Today’s selling puts the […]
GBP: Heavyweight UK Data Will Steer Sterling Next Week
Talking Points: Trade weighted Sterling at post-Brexit high. Will UK real wages turn positive? 70% probability of 0.25% UK rate hike in May FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST FOR GBP: NEUTRAL Sterling bulls have enjoyed a positive week with GBP making gains against most other currency pairs. Despite a lack of any hard data, EURGBP trades at levels last seen in […]
