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Trading Support And Resistance – Sunday, July 1
This week we’ll begin with our monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of our forecast is based upon our research of the past 16 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results: Trading the two currencies that are trending the most strongly over the […]
EURUSD: Risk Remains Higher On Recovery
The EURUSD pair may have hesitated on Thursday but still looks to weaken further. On the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1750 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1800 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1850 level where a break will expose the 1.1900 level. Conversely, support […]
Logical Invest Investment Outlook – July 2018
Our top 2018 investment strategies, year-to-date : The NASDAQ 100 strategy with +13.13% return. The 3x Universal Investment strategy with +3.03% return. The Universal Investment strategy with +0.72% return SPY, the S&P 500 ETF, returned +2.52%. Market comment: General investor sentiment is quite bearish. The most recent AAII Investor Sentiment survey shows only 28% of investors believe the markets will do well in the next […]
Trump Tariffs Hit Newspaper Industry Hard: And Canada Strikes Back
Tariffs on Canadian softwood forced up the cost of newsprint. Newspapers are laying off employees, and Canada responds. US newspapers are the latest casualty of Trump’s absurd trade war with the world. It has been just over six months since the U.S. Department of Commerce levied its first tariffs on Canadian uncoated groundwood paper, resulting in a […]
Apple Vs. Microsoft: Evaluating The Two Giants’ Growth Since The 1980s
Tech companies have long been some of the most popular on Wall Street, and many firms have changed the way millions of people live. Yet, even with the rise of Amazon AMZN, Facebook FB, and younger tech startups, Apple AAPL and Microsoft MSFT still have an outsized influence on consumers and the stock market. So let’s compare the two historic tech […]
Worries About The Yield Curve
Several people have asked me if the flattening yield curve is a warning of impending weak growth or even a recession. My answer is not yet. Here’s why. Usually long-term bonds offer a higher yield than short-term bonds, a feature described by the yield curve, which plots the interest rate on bonds as a function […]
Sit Down And Shut Up
Last week the Dow Jones closed with its BEV value at around -7.5% and I wondered whether it would first breach its BEV -5% or -10% line. Five trading days later it appears the -10% line is next, and what follows after that? The factors the bulls have working against them are growing: Rising bond […]
Gold Price: Short Term Bearish, Medium Term Strongly Bullish
The price of gold lost some 3.5% in the month of June, and is somehow bearish. Some call for a breakdown of the secular uptrend which started in 2002. Although that may be true we take a deeper look into gold, and try to understand whether we have to revise our Gold Price Forecast For 2018 which […]
The Decision Tree: Why The Odds Of Permanent Tariffs Are 75/25
Two weeks ago, in “Cheshire Cat’s Smile: ‘What Is The Fed Worried About?’”, I regaled readers with some of my patented island anecdotes on the way to warning folks about the perils associated with trying to discuss the Phillips curve at local bars. Somehow, I managed to segue from that into a some excerpts from […]
Gold’s Support Dear At Mid-Year
Precious metal Gold has precious little support left to save its year. Having settled the week Friday at 1254, price traded down through most of The Box (1280-1240), reaching as low as 1247. Our present sense is should Gold post a weekly close sub-1240, it will be well en route to putting in a down […]
