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Lira Plummets As Erdogan Defies Markets, Urges Citizens To Exchange Dollars For Lira

Lira Plummets As Erdogan Defies Markets, Urges Citizens To Exchange Dollars For Lira

Heading into today’s much-anticipated speech by Turkey’s president Erdogan, market expectations were high for at least a trace of conciliation; some analysts even expressed hopes that the central bank, i.e. Erdogan, would greenlight a rate hike as follows: Fidelity: 1000bps would be a “good start” SocGen: 600bps ADM’s Ostwald: 500bps + IMF’s bailout UBS: 350-400bps […]
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                        Forex Analysis Of EUR/USD For Friday, August 10

E Forex Analysis Of EUR/USD For Friday, August 10

First, we look into the previous day trade and what happened on August 9, 2018, and the EUR/USD pair opened at 1.16089 and went high at 1.16196 and gone to low at 1.15249 and finally closed at 1.15266. The calculated pivot point for the day is 1.15570 The difference between high and low was 94 […]
Morning Call For Friday, August 10

Morning Call For Friday, August 10

Overnight Markets And News Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU18 -0.41%) this morning are down -0.44% and European stocks sank -1.33% to a 3-week low on concern Turkey’s economic problems will spill over into the Eurozone. EUR/USD (^EURUSD -0.62%) fell to a 13-momnth low and the 10-year German bund yield declined to a 3-week low after the Financial Times […]
End Game: Lira Collapses Raising Specter Of Capital Controls, IMF Bailout

End Game: Lira Collapses Raising Specter Of Capital Controls, IMF Bailout

After weeks spent teetering on the brink, the Turkish lira collapsed on Friday, falling more than 13.5% at one point to beyond 6.30. Thursday’s losses were already accelerating amid what some traders described as stop-loss selling in TRYJPY (that’s a repeat of what happened several months ago during another particularly acute episode) and then, the […]
Are Low Equity Sector Correlations A Warning Sign For Stocks?

Are Low Equity Sector Correlations A Warning Sign For Stocks?

James Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Leuthold Group, sees trouble brewing in the growing disconnect between US equity sectors. He told CNBC earlier this week that correlations among US equities is unusually low and flashing a warning signal. That’s an especially dangerous sign when the stock market’s valuation is so high. Let’s dig deeper into […]
Sensex Ends 155 Points Lower; Metal And Healthcare Stocks Witness Selling

Sensex Ends 155 Points Lower; Metal And Healthcare Stocks Witness Selling

Indian share markets continued to trade in the red during the closing hours of the trading session and ended the day on a negative note. Losses were largely seen in the metal sector and healthcare sector. At the closing bell, the BSE Sensex stood lower by 155 points (down 0.4%) and the NSE Nifty closed lower by 41 points (down 0.4%). Both – […]
Understanding TIPS: The Compelling Case For Rising Interest Rates And How To Benefit From Them

Understanding TIPS: The Compelling Case For Rising Interest Rates And How To Benefit From Them

As we head further into 2018, the case for rising interest rates is compelling, and it Really is All About Supply and Demand! On the demand side, those buyers of treasuries that are traditionally the largest are reducing their participation in the market, thereby reducing demand and leading to lower prices and higher yields. Specifically: […]
Strong Canada Employment Report To Curb USD/CAD Rebound

Strong Canada Employment Report To Curb USD/CAD Rebound

Updates to Canada’s Employment report may curb the recent rebound in USD/CAD as the economy is expected to add another 19.0K jobs in July. After delivering a 25bp rate-hike in June, data prints pointing to a strengthening labor market may encourage the Bank of Canada (BoC) to further normalize monetary policy over the coming months as the […]
EURUSD: The Euro Is Resting On The Weekly Support

EURUSD: The Euro Is Resting On The Weekly Support

On Thursday the 9th of August, trading on EURUSD closed down. Bears resumed the downtrend after the break of the trend line at 1.1582. By the close of trading, the euro fell to 1.1526, surpassing Monday’s low (1.1530). In the first half of the day, the major currencies were under pressure against the US dollar due […]
WTI Crude Oil And Natural Gas Forecast – Friday, August 10

WTI Crude Oil And Natural Gas Forecast – Friday, August 10

WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market was very noisy during trading on Thursday but did offer a bit of stability coming in at support. This is something that the market desperately needed, after getting slammed the previous day. I believe that there is an uptrend line underneath that should also support this market, […]