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Archives by Year:
Weekly Economic And Political Timeline – Sunday, Sept. 9
This week is likely to see a good amount of activity in the market. It will probably be dominated by central bank input for the British Pound and the Euro, as well as a slew of key British economic data and an important U.S. inflation release. The market is likely to be most active on Thursday. […]
USD/JPY Forecast Sept. 10-14 – Is Risk Off Taking Off?
Dollar/yen was unable to hold onto its gains as dollar strength was substituted by a risk-off atmosphere that benefits the Japanese yen. Tariffs remain in the limelight but we also have US inflation and retail sales in the mix. USD/JPY fundamental movers The deadline for public comments on the tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods ended. […]
Expert Take: How Can We Overcome Bitcoin’s Volatility?
Before you roll your eyes, there are no stupid questions, remember? Bitcoin has shown itself to be highly volatile since its creation, granted. Yet, it’s not entirely unrealistic that we can overcome Bitcoin’s volatility. Let’s remember that it hasn’t even reached its 10th birthday yet. We’ve been trading stocks and other securities in an established framework since […]
Weekly Market Outlook – Playing With Fire
Yikes. Last week’s setback was the worst weekly loss for the market since March… a factoid made even more alarming by the fact that we only saw four trading days last week. One more day could have upped the ante on the “worst since” accolade. And yet, it can’t be ignored that last week’s […]
E Markets: Politics As Usual
Back room deals with cigar smoke and the smell of money meeting greed. The mood for markets and how they deal with politics as a key driver doesn’t get easier. The uncertainty of US trade policy balances against stronger US economic data all coated with ugly US politics. The last week brought a general de-risking […]
Will The Stock Market Crash?
This short video covers why I think the S&P 500 Futures and SPX are expensive relative to Emerging Market stocks, and why Emerging Market stocks might be the catalyst to the next stock market crash.
Emerging Markets: Preview For The Week Of Sept.10
EM FX ended Friday on a mixed note, with TRY and ARS leading the gains. However, the jobs data supports our view that the Fed is likely to continue hiking rates, which is negative for EM. Furthermore, trade tensions will remain high after the US announced plans to slap tariffs on an additional $267 billion […]
E SPX, Gold, Oil And G6 Targets For The Week Of September 10th
The SPX behaved in classic TA fashion and, after making a new all-time high, started September by pulling back and testing the break-out level. In doing so it finished the week just 3 points shy of our downside target and the August high. Therefore, the SPX direction this upcoming week should determine whether the market […]
Weekly Fundamental Forecast: The Week Ends With Raised Trade War Threats Fom Trump, ECB And BoE Rate Decisions Ahead
Fundamental traders are finding it difficult to determine exactly what to keep tabs on for generating volatility in the markets. Is the escalation of the US-led trade war with another $267 billion tariff threat on China and not-so-subtle threat to pull Japan in more market-moving than scheduled events like the ECB and BoE rate decisions? […]
Gold And The Next Financial Crisis
This NY Times Op-Ed quoted below is for the tenth anniversary of the financial crisis, written by three of the men who helped to create it, and intensify its after effects. With a little help from the like minded who have followed, they have virtually insured a repeat. Bob Rubin, Bill Clinton, and Alan Greenspan […]
