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Archives by Year:
The Market’s Unwanted Hornet’s Nest
Over the weekend and after a rough trip to the east coast due to major delays, we got out of the Uber car to be greeted by this buzzing hornet’s nest affixed to my sister’s house. The exterminator came on a Sunday, yay, and sprayed those nasty bald-faced hornets into oblivion. The nest though illustrates […]
New S&P 500 Sector Weightings – What You Need To Know
The new GICS sector re-classifications finally took place today, and below are the details. Sector classifications for public companies are determined by the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS), which is maintained by S&P and MSCI. Below is a table showing S&P 500 sectors with both their new weightings and old weightings in the index. We also include […]
Dollar ETFs: Is The Run Over?
The benchmark 10-year yield has touched 3.09%, the highest level since May and is inching toward its seven-year high of 3.109%. Rising rates in general lead to a surge in domestic currency but the opposite is happening now as the U.S. dollar has fallen 0.6% against the basket of major currencies on Sep 20, facing a nine-week […]
Sound Valuation – More Important Than Time In The Market? SBUX, CPB, FDS
Introduction I believe that two of the most important investing principles that prudent investors should embrace are valuation and time in the market. Consequently, the title of this article is mildly misleading, because both concepts are extremely important towards achieving long-term investing success. In other words, I believe attempting to argue the importance of one over […]
AUDUSD: Vulnerable, Sets Up To Weaken Further Towards 0.7028/01 Zone
The AUDUSD pair is backing off higher prices to close lower on Tuesday, more downside pressure is likely in the days ahead. Support resides at the 0.7200 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7150 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7100 level with a cut through […]
Bollinger Bands On Russell 2000 Indicate A Breakout Could Be Imminent
Bollinger Bands can be a great indicator to add in to your trading arsenal. Combining the Bollinger Band Width and an analysis of implied volatility can make a great foundation when looking to trade breakouts or consolidations. Currently, on the Russell 2000 chart, we can see that the Bollinger Bands are as tight as they […]
Planning Advice From Nobel Laureate Kenneth Arrow
The boring truth of financial analysis and portfolio management is that the majority of our days are spent visiting with clients, reading, reading, reading, and when required, making decisions. Years ago it would have included quite a bit of time on a calculator, but thanks to the low cost of computers and software, most of […]
E Extremes In Performance Of US Housing Stocks Worrying
The charts below show three common indexes for US housing stocks. They were up last year in the range of 31% to 75% while the S&P 500 Index was up 19.4%. This year, however, the indexes are down 10-21% and the Home Construction Index is in a bear market territory, if one uses 20% decline from […]
What To Expect From The Fed’s Dots This Wednesday
This week, the FOMC will hike 25bp and a few more Fed officials should signal their comfort with four rates hikes for this year in the dot plot. The Fed is expected to note that risks should remain balanced, with Chair Powell potentially de-emphasizing some of the downside risks – and certainly the mounting trade […]
August 2018 CFNAI Super Index Moving Average Improve
The economy’s rate of growth improved based on the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 month moving (3MA) average – and economic growth remained above the historical trend rate of growth. Analyst Opinion of the CFNAI This Month The single month index which is not used for economic forecasting which unfortunately is what the […]
