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Archives by Year:
Q3 Has Been Exceptionally Strong – Here’s Why Stocks Will Do Well In Q4
Q3 2018 is now over. So far, the U.S. stock market’s price action has exhibited extreme strength. This is from yesterday’s market study. The S&P 500 has gone up 6 months in a row. This is bullish (historically). Look at the 9 months forward returns. Moreover, the S&P has completely ignored “sell in May and go […]
US Debt And The Restraint Of A Gold Standard
Although FDR ended the use of gold in domestic circulation as currency in 1933, the US dollar remained on the gold standard until 1971. The international currency system was formalized by the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944. When Nixon arbitrarily shut the ‘gold window’ in 1971 the world entered a reserve currency system of fiat dollars, […]
EUR/USD Forecast October 1-5 – Italy’s Budget Breach Bites And It’s Not Over
EUR/USD reached new highs only to fall sharply as Italy’s budget came to the forefront. The issues are far from being resolved. PMI data stands out in the first week of Q4. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for EUR/USD. The Italian government decided on a budget deficit […]
Q3 2018 Ends On A High Note For U.S. Equities
Each candle on the following three charts of the S&P 500 Index represents: a period of one month (Chart #1) a period of one quarter (Chart #2) a period of one year (Chart #3) Each of the last candles on all three timeframes closed higher than its prior time-period candle. The most notable feature of the Yearly chart, in particular, is that price could, in fact, reach a resistance […]
US, Canada Set To Reach NAFTA Deal In “Chapter 19” For US Dairy Access Compromise
After a month of tense negotiations and with one day to go until the Sept. 30th deadline, the US and Canada are poised to announce a deal on NAFTA at the last minute, ending the impasse that has jeopardized $500 billion in annual trade between the two North American neighbors, Bloomberg reports citing people familiar […]
Oil Q4 Forecast: Global Oil Demand In Question As OPEC Output Falters And US Shale Booms
The outlook for global growth has been called into question in recent months as emerging markets bow under external pressures and developed economies engage in trade wars. On top of its already-enacted $250 billion tab, the US is weighing a further $267 billion in tariffs on China. The Trump administration has also suggested it may […]
The Real Truth Behind Stock Buybacks
It’s time to separate fact from fiction when it comes to stock buy backs. With over $1 trillion in stock buy backs this year, the most since 2007, many traders don’t know the crucial buyback rules.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: Real Personal Income In August
Note: This commentary has been updated to include Friday’s release of the August data for Real Personal Income Less Transfer Receipts. Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as they get […]
Musk Settles With The SEC: Will Step Down As Tesla Chairman For 3 Years, Pay $20MM Fine, Stay As CEO
Just one day after the SEC sued Elon Musk for securities fraud, in a move that shocked many who were skeptical the US regulator would do anything more than slap a few wrists – an action which it took only after it emerged that Musk had turned down a settlement offer from the SEC in the last […]
Why Is JP Morgan Stacking Tons Of Silver?
Many people have asked me for more news in regards to JP Morgan & this massive accumulations of silver. More evidence, coming from higher-ups at JP Morgan themselves, as to why silver, and gold, is a solid hedge against nations like China and Russia in their actions against the US Dollar.
