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Goldman Warns Of A Default Wave As $1.3 Trillion In Debt Is Set To Mature

Goldman Warns Of A Default Wave As $1.3 Trillion In Debt Is Set To Mature

Ten years after the Lehman bankruptcy, the financial elite is obsessed with what will send the world spiraling into the next financial crisis. And with household debt relatively tame by historical standards (excluding student loans, which however will likely be forgiven at some point in the future), mortgage debt nowhere near the relative levels of […]
The Trump Tariff Put Will Expire Worthless

The Trump Tariff Put Will Expire Worthless

Weekly Forex Forecast – Sunday, Sept. 23

Weekly Forex Forecast – Sunday, Sept. 23

USD/CAD The US dollar spent the bulk of the week falling against the Canadian dollar but appears to be finding a bit of support in the 1.29 level.This is essentially the bottom of the “zone” that extends down from the 1.30 handle, and the area that the bottom of the hammer from the last dip […]
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                        Market Briefing For Monday, Sept. 24

E Market Briefing For Monday, Sept. 24

A slightly more sober performance by markets as ‘Quadruple Expiration‘ has wrapped up, is being telegraphed, and likely looms immediately ahead. Of course markets will ponder the Fed rate increase (essentially discounted in terms of actual Treasury moves) and talk about tariff-related prospects.      However, it may well be both allocations’ (the restructured ETF’s) deadline impacts (Monday […]
Models’ Updates: Sunday, Sept. 23

Models’ Updates: Sunday, Sept. 23

Here’s what my various trading models are saying about the U.S. stock market right now. The Medium-Long Term Model states that you should be long stocks right now. We are in a “big rally in a bull market”. The next “big correction” or “bear market” is at least a few months away. The 17.2% trading model for newsletter […]
EURAUD: Another Rally Higher?

EURAUD: Another Rally Higher?

In February 2017 EURAUD found a bottom, rallied higher and has been trending higher since. Traders should continue to follow the trend and look for possible signals for any buying opportunities. At the moment the pair can extend higher as long as the September 20, 2018 low holds. A simple A-B-C (Red) Elliott Wave correction […]
‘Yields On The March!’ Reflecting On The Latest Bond Selloff

‘Yields On The March!’ Reflecting On The Latest Bond Selloff

“Yields: On the march!”, Jeff Gundlach tweet-shrieked, on Tuesday, before chiding the media for not paying enough attention to market action that essentially invalidated his “monumental” short squeeze pseudo-prediction. “10’s above 3% again, this time without financial media concern”, he continued, adding that everyone should “watch 3.25% on 30’s [because] two closes above = game […]
Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Trade War Fears Cool, Equities Rally, Brexit Talks Deteriorate For Next Week

Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Trade War Fears Cool, Equities Rally, Brexit Talks Deteriorate For Next Week

The primary fundamental drivers of the past months have taken a notable change in course or have otherwise withdrawn their influence over the broader markets. Is this renewed risk appetite and discounted range of threats a dependable course for the financial system and speculators? New Zealand Dollar Forecast – Fed, RBNZ Risk Derailing Remarkable New […]
Dow Jones’ Bear’s Eye View From 1885 To 2018

Dow Jones’ Bear’s Eye View From 1885 To 2018

My timing was pretty good. As it turned out the Dow Jones saw two new all-time highs this week, the week I returned from a month long break. These new all-time highs in the Dow Jones marks the termination of the fourth correction in the post sub-prime/credit crisis bull market (see BEV chart below). Since […]
This Week In Stocks – Sunday, Sept. 23

This Week In Stocks – Sunday, Sept. 23

Our analysis for the coming week is for the S&P 500 (SPX) to trade in a choppy range, setting the stage to begin to roll over. The shifted cycle for the Russell 2000 will provide some downside pressure, as the cycle ends this week. We expect the SPX to begin the declining phase for the […]