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Archives by Year:
Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of September 24 And October 1
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. Forecast Prior Observation Consensus Week of September 24 September 25 Chicago Fed National Manufacturing Index – August 0.20 0.13 0.20 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 29.0 30.9 31.2 September […]
E Monetary Policy In The Advanced Economies Is Normalizing, Which Means Further Rate Hikes In The U.S. And Canada
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates 25 basis points in June and signaled that two additional increases were on the way this year. Thus far the financial markets have shrugged off the U.S. rate hikes and the related quantitative tightening since the U.S. economy and its job market seems quite strong. The Bank of Canada […]
How Could The U.S.-China Trade War Impact Consumers?
(Video length 00:03:08) On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Quantitative Investment Strategist Abraham Robison and Rob Cittadini, director, Americas institutional, discussed escalating […]
Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned – CoT
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 18, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 684.7k, up 2k. The 10-year Treasury rate (3.07 percent) has once again reached a battle zone. The last time these notes yielded just north of three percent before coming under sustained pressure was December 2013, when it retreated after hitting […]
The Week In Review: How Trump’s Policies Moved Stocks
Catch up on the top industries and stocks that were impacted, or were predicted to be impacted, by the comments, actions and policies of President Donald Trump and his administration with this weekly recap compiled by The Fly: 1. 10% TARIFFS: On Monday night, the White House announced new 10% tariffs on over 5,000 products […]
E Gold – “Make Me Feel Good…Tell Me Anything”
Most technical analysis of gold boils down to “what the charts tell us about gold’s next move”. The next move according to most seers of the trade – is “imminently bullish” and represents one, last chance for investors to save their financial souls. The problem is that more people have lost more money by ‘investing’ in gold […]
Crude Oil: Continues To Hold Onto Upside Pressure, Targets 71.63
CRUDE OIL: The commodity closed higher the past week leaving risk of more strength in the new week. On the downside, support resides at the 70.00 level where a break will expose the 69.50 level. A cut through here will set the stage for a run at the 69.00 level. Further down, support resides at […]
EUR/USD Forecast Sep. 24-28 – Will It Choose A Direction?
EUR/USD enjoyed significant gains as the US Dollar lost ground in a calm atmosphere. What’s next? Fresh inflation figures and Draghi’s testimony stand out in the last week of September. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for EUR/USD. The US announced new tariffs on China on $200 billion […]
The Short-Term Trend Becomes More Defined
A short-term uptrend started on Wednesday. It looks like the trends may be more clearly defined than they were over the summer. I say this because the PMO has started reaching the upper and lower extremes during the cycles. When this happens, it makes it a lot easier to see the trends. A bit of advice. […]
How A Fund Betting On “The End Of The World” Outperformed The S&P 500
Ten years after the financial crisis, with the bull market now the longest on record, “black swan” fund Universa Investments chief investment officer, Mark Spitznagel, spoke on Bloomberg TV and said that “We are going to continue to see deeper and deeper [crashes], simply by virtue of the fact that the degree of interventionism is larger and […]
