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Archives by Year:
Analyzing This Year’s Market Returns
Many investors assume their accounts have achieved good returns this year. After all, the S&P 500 Index is up nearly 9.5% through October 8, including dividends. But that doesn’t necessarily mean your account has an inflation-beating return for the year depending on your bond and international stock exposure. And while bonds and foreign stocks have […]
E Markets: Muddling
Best to find some mint and a mortar. This is a muddle-through market with little hard news to move it. Headlines are less dramatic like the price action. This time its US Treasury Mnuchin warning China not to devalue its currency, even as the technicals point to a 7.00 break soon. The IMF wants the governments of the […]
US Dollar Pullback May Continue In North America
Overview: As seems often to be the case a counter-trend move began in the foreign exchange market on Tuesday and continued into Asia today. In the current context, this meant a dollar pullback. Although move seemed to falter early European activity, we expect the dollar to move modestly lower in North America today. Asian stocks snapped […]
Morning Call For Wednesday, Oct. 10
Overnight Markets And News Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ18 +0.04%) this morning are down -0.04% and European stocks are down -0.23% as T-note yields move higher after New York Fed President Williams said “further gradual increases in interest rates” are the best way to foster a sustained expansion and also reduce risk-taking in financial markets. Supply pressures […]
WTI Crude Oil And Natural Gas Forecast – Wednesday, Oct. 10
WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market rallied significantly during trading on Tuesday, breaking above the top of the hammer from the Monday session. We slammed into the $75 level, an area that, of course, will attract some attention. However, the longer-term charts are still very bullish, as the $73 level has shown itself […]
Rising Rates Reflect Strong Pipeline Fundamentals
Will rising interest rates hurt pipeline company stocks? Ten-year treasury yields are at 3.25%, a seven year high. The bond market is commanding the attention of equity investors once more. The high yields on MLPs have long attracted income-seeking investors. A common valuation metric is to compare the sector’s yield with the ten year treasury […]
Currency Manipulators
Traditional Markets As we discussed in Monday’s update (titled: The New World), China has recently moved to inject more money into their financial system by adjusting their bank cash reserve requirements. Today… Donald Trump made the issue of “Chinese currency manipulation” a cornerstone of his presidential campaign. However, until today it hasn’t really played into trade […]
US Inflation Needs To Be Really Bad To Stop The USD
US Core Inflation is expected to recover after a blip in August. Fed expectations for a hike in December are set to strengthen. Barring a second consecutive disappointment, the USD will likely remain bid. The US publishes its Consumer Price Index report for September on Thursday, October 11th, at 12:30 GMT. The Fed has two mandates: employment […]
Global Stocks Spooked As US Treasury Yields Resume Their Ascent
Global markets entered Wednesday in tentative fashion as US Treasury yields resumed their upward march after dropping the day before ahead of a closely watched US CPI report and as the US Treasury prepared to sell more debt to fund the soaring US deficit. The mood in stocks soured, and European equities turned lower with […]
Are Italy’s Stocks Worth Going Long?
Just look at the news – Italy is not so sunny anymore: its public debt is >120% of the GDP (double the EU maximum) and its coalition government plans to borrow 1,6% of the GDP this year. On top of it, the bad news keeps coming: a Genova bridge collapsed in August, putting Atlantia S.p.a., […]
