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Archives by Year:
How Much Of Your Portfolio Should You Keep In Cash?
At some point, I am going to retire, so I wanted to calculate how much of my portfolio I should put into cash in order to protect myself against sequence-of-returns risk. If you’re withdrawing monthly from a portfolio that’s partially invested in equities and a bear market comes along, you’ll run out of money a […]
Wage Growth Momentum Is Still Strong
Wage Growth Momentum – Strong Wage Growth In previous articles, I have discussed how strong wage growth catalyzed the increase in the 10-year yield in the past few weeks. Technically, average hourly wage growth missed estimates on a year over year basis as it fell from 2.9% to 2.8%. But this was another strong month […]
We Could See $100 Oil Again Soon, But Not For The Reason You Think
According to a recent Cornerstone Macro report, the three most influential macro trends this year have been 1) the strengthening U.S. dollar, 2) the flattening yield curve and 3) slowing global manufacturing expansion. I’ve written about all three topics numerous times this year, but the one I’ve watched the most closely has been global manufacturing, […]
Silver: “Houston, We Have A Problem”
Last Monday, we also wrote about gold. On that day we were bearish. The previous piece ended with this: “The sell signal is on as long as we stay below the green line. Do not forget that on gold, we are very close to the long-term upwards trend line (10 years). A breakout of such an […]
BTC/USD Technical Target $6,800 After Rising Without Making Any Noise
Cryptocurrencies have turned quiet for a change, demonstrating the lowest volatility since early 2017. The calm is not necessarily bad for bulls, as Bitcoin trades above $6,600. What’s next? The digital coin is well supported and may be ready for the next leg higher. The Technical Confluence Indicator shows that the BTC/USD is currently trading amid a […]
Stocks Slammed, VIX Spikes As Guggenheim’s Minerd Sees “Echoes Of October 1987”
Friday’s Russell 2000 dead cat bounce off the 200-day moving average is over… And despite an early morning rebound, US equity markets are accelerating lower led by some serious ugliness in Nasdaq… As FANG Stocks get slammed… And VIX spikes back above 18… We leave it to Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd to explain… Unexpected rate increase creates […]
Most Active Equity Options And Strikes For Midday – Monday, Oct. 8
Top tickers for midday: GPOR, PBR, AR, XRX, BAC, AAPL, GE.
Dollar Index Holding Above Key Area In The Mid-95.00s
The US dollar is rallying against most of its major rivals after Friday’s NFP report showed a multigenerational in the unemployment rate (though that wasn’t enough to make wage growth accelerate). Amidst a US bank holiday, the world’s reserve currency is rising against the “commodity dollars” and mainland European currencies, though it is losing slight ground to the […]
September 2018 Conference Board Employment Index Marginally Declined
The Conference Board’s Employment Trends Index – which forecasts employment for the next 6 months marginally declined with the author’s saying “Despite this month’s decline – the result of just two components – the index remains on a solid upward trend, and has been growing rapidly in recent months“. Analyst Opinion of Conference Board’s Employment […]
