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Archives by Year:
Forex Forecast: Pairs In Focus – Sunday, Oct. 7
The difference between success and failure in Forex trading is very likely to depend upon which currency pairs you choose to trade each week, and not on the exact trading methods you might use to determine trade entries and exits. Each week I am going to analyze fundamentals, sentiment and technical positions in order to […]
The Long (Bond) Goodbye
Global equities got smoked this week except for Brazil which jumped on news that a right-wing populist will most likely be the next president. The NASDAQ 100 dropped -2.89% and the IWM swooned -3.79%. October is generally a decent month regarding historical returns for stocks, although occasionally October is famous for some exceptions named after […]
5 Top Stocks To Gain From Multi-Year High Bond Yields
A selloff in treasuries extended into the second day on Oct. 3 after investors’ appetite for riskier assets improved following stronger domestic economic data and reports on easing fears of a clash over finances between the EU and Italy. As treasury prices fell sharply, the 10-year Treasury note hit a multi-year high. Financials rallied on […]
China Delivers RRR Cut, Unleashing 1.2 Trillion Yuan In Liquidity
The policy divergence between the Fed and the PBoC just got wider. For the fourth time this year, China has cut the reserve requirement ratio for some banks in a bid to counter a deceleration in the economy and ensure trade frictions with the U.S. don’t end up raising the odds of a hard landing. […]
AUDUSD Weekly Analysis – Sunday, Oct. 7
AUDUSD extended its downside movement from 0.8135 to as low as 0.7042, breaking below 0.7085 support. As long as the price is below the bearish trend line on the daily chart, the downside movement could be expected to continue and next target would be at 0.6900 area. Only a clear break above the trend line […]
More Random Thoughts
Based on this chart and the stochastic, I wonder if the market is ready for a bit of a short-term counter-rally back up to the point where support broke on Thursday? A break down in relative strength often comes before a break down in the index. This indicator works fairly well to keep you in […]
New Single Family Home Sales Vs New Residential Construction
The above chart plots sales, held for sale, sold, and starts. It doesn’t quite add up, but it’s close. Comparing New Home Sales and New Residential Construction I totaled the above numbers in various ways and they did not quite match up. The Census Bureau explains. We are often asked why the numbers of new single-family […]
E Market Briefing For Monday, Oct. 8
Investors and pundits who were blindsided by the ongoing distribution and insider selling are catching on to the deception. Note that nobody is talking about buybacks now (most require bond offerings; a characteristic that goes away as interest rates firm); nor the insider selling so evident throughout the year’s first half. As I wrote […]
Week In Review: How Trump’s Policies Moved Stocks- Oct. 7
We catch up on the top industries and stocks that were impacted, or were predicted to be impacted, by the comments, actions and policies of President Donald Trump and his administration with this weekly recap compiled by The Fly. USMCA On Monday, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Canadian Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland announced […]
USD/JPY Forecast Oct. 8 -12 – Time For A Temporary Correction Or Full-Steam Ahead?
Dollar/yen enjoyed another week of gains but did not reach 115. The greenback strengthened on data, yields and the Fed. The upcoming week features US inflation and other events. USD/JPY fundamental movers – Triple win for the US Dollar The ADP Non-Farm Payrolls beat expectations and the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI hit 61.6 points, the highest ever. Markets did not […]
