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Archives by Year:
Why The Speed Of Rising Yields Is What Matters For Stocks
In our earlier discussion of rising rates precipitating a drop in stocks, we noted that while the absolute level of the 10Y yield in itself is a key trigger to a selloff, the other catalyst is the speed/rate of the selloff in rates – i.e., the faster the yield rise, the more likely the adverse reaction for […]
ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update – Friday, Oct. 5
This morning’s release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 149.1, up from the previous week’s 148.4. Year-over-year the four-week moving average of the indicator is now at 3.01%, down from last week. The WLI Growth indicator is now at 0.48, up from the previous week. “Outsized Gains […]
U.S. Natural Gas Exports More Than Double: 4 Stocks In Focus
Adoption of alternative energy sources has increased significantly, given increasing awareness about reducing greenhouse gas emissions and lowering rate of climate change. While renewables like solar and wind are more preferred options when it comes to the development of a carbon-constrained environment, demand for natural gas is gaining steam as it is the cleanest fossil […]
Russell 2000 P/E Ratio Excludes Negative Earnings
The Russell 2000 is an index that tracks small cap stocks. Investors frequently buy funds based on this index to get exposure to small, fast-growing companies. On the surface, this makes sense, since small caps have outperformed large stocks over the long run. However, there are some serious problems with the Russell 2000. As I […]
Recapping The Rise In Yields And The Jobs Number
(Audio length 00:10:08) Chris Temple joins me today to recap the rise in yields over this week. We are also seeing the steepening of the yield curve. The jobs number this week was net neutral but one thing it does is give the fed further cover to continue on its rate hiking path.
GE Rises After Entering Compensation Agreement With New CEO
Shares of General Electric (GE) are rising after the company entered into a compensation agreement with H. Lawrence Culp Jr., its newly-appointed chairman, and chief executive officer. COMPENSATION DEAL: In a regulatory filing on Thursday, General Electric announced it entered into a deal with Culp with a four-year term, which includes a base salary of […]
September 2018 BLS Jobs Situation Mixed
The headline seasonally adjusted BLS job growth was well below expectations. The internals generally look good, and the pace of year-to-date growth exceeds last year. There continues to be troubling aspects of this month’s data. Analyst Opinion of the BLS Employment Situation The household and establishment surveys were not in sync (understatement). The year-to-date employment […]
Trade Deficit Widens Despite Tariffs: Record Deficits With China, Mexico
Today’s trade report will set off hows from trump. Imports up, exports down. Record deficits with China and Mexico. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $53.2 billion in August, up $3.2 billion from $50.0 billion in July, revised. Exports, Imports, and Balance August […]
China’s Nineties Fears, Not Just Japan
The year 2012 was a turning point, there can be no doubts about that. At least not when objectively and honestly reviewing the data. Up until the worldwide slowdown that hit that year, starting the year before, 2011, in an “unexpected” flare-up of global monetary crisis, the Great “Recession” was viewed as harsh, even prolonged. […]
