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S&P 500 ETFs – Thursday. Oct. 4

S&P 500 ETFs – Thursday. Oct. 4

The S&P 500 index is arguably the most well-known worldwide. It is based on the market cap of the 500 largest companies in the U.S. The first-ever ETF, introduced in 1989, hoped to mimic the index, but was short-lived due to a lawsuit. Several S&P 500 ETFs have been brought to market since, and we […]
5 GARP Stocks For A Winning Portfolio

5 GARP Stocks For A Winning Portfolio

Investors on the lookout for stocks with the potential for maximum growth and value investing may consider the growth at a reasonable price or GARP strategy. This popular strategy helps investors gain exposure to stocks with impressive growth prospects that are trading at a discount. GARP investing employs popular value metrics — price-to-earnings (P/E) and […]
10 Year Yield Hit 3.17%

10 Year Yield Hit 3.17%

10 Year Yield – Stocks Stay High Despite High Yields The Russell 2000 finally increased after a terrible run; it was up 0.92%. The overall stock market was up slightly as the S&P 500 was up just 7 basis points. The real action today was in the treasury market. An important point about the stock market […]
Greece Planning Bad Debt Bailout For Its Banks After Market Crash

Greece Planning Bad Debt Bailout For Its Banks After Market Crash

It seems like it was just yesterday that Greek banks, which carry some €89BN of bad loans on their balance sheets, passed the ECB’s latest confidence building exercise, known as the “stress test.” In retrospect that may have been premature, because as Bloomberg reports, over 8 years after its first bailout Greece is finally considering […]
September 2018 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Average Again Marginally Worsens

September 2018 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Average Again Marginally Worsens

The market expectations for weekly initial unemployment claims (from Econoday) were 210 K to 220 K (consensus 210,000), and the Department of Labor reported 207,000 new claims. The more important (because of the volatility in the weekly reported claims and seasonality errors in adjusting the data) 4 week moving average moved from 206,500 (reported last […]
Rising Rates Retreat When Consumption Drowns

Rising Rates Retreat When Consumption Drowns

The US Central Bank hiked benchmark rates last week for the 8th time since their tightening cycle began in December 2015. Starting from the all-time low of .25%, the federal funds rate now tops 2%+ for the first time in a decade. In the longer run, higher rates are critical for a stable financial system […]
Individual Investor Sentiment – Uh Oh

Individual Investor Sentiment – Uh Oh

With the Dow suddenly hitting record highs on what seems like a daily basis, you would expect to see individual investor sentiment improve, and that’s exactly what we saw this week. According to the weekly sentiment survey from AAII, bullish sentiment surged 9.4 percentage points to 45.66% from last week’s reading of 36.22%. That move represents the […]
Does Gold Speak Italian?

Does Gold Speak Italian?

Nobody Expects the Italian Inquisition The recent days have been quite tumultuous in Italy. The turmoil started last week when the new government submitted its spending plans to the EU. The ruling coalition set Italy’s budget deficit at 2.4 percent of its GDP. The number is much higher than the current deficit which is set to […]
5 Rallying Stocks For A Strong Q4

5 Rallying Stocks For A Strong Q4

All these stocks are up over 10% or more in the last month. We are now heading into Q4 with much stronger momentum than many expected. Indeed, for the S&P 500, the third quarter of 2018 marked the best quarterly gain since Q4 2013. And Q4 is seasonally much stronger than the often choppy Q3. So […]