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Archives by Year:
Bears Are Taking Over World Stock Markets
Wall Street’s S&P 500 is down .56% on the year in the most extended bull market ever while the MSCI All-Country World Index, a barometer of world stocks, has declined 7.39% on fears of a full-blown trade war, supply chain disruptions, global growth momentum waning, and of course, the threat of a worldwide recession. According to […]
Why It Doesn’t Matter If We’ve Hit A Market Bottom
Are you looking for a market bottom? From my perspective, it doesn’t matter. I don’t search for bottoms – or tops – because it’s pretty much a loser’s game. If that’s what you focus on, you can quickly get caught up in a fear mindset and miss great trade opportunities. Instead, look for patterns that […]
Marks On The Market
Just about 70 years ago, Benjamin Graham wrote the timeless book titled simply The Intelligent Investor. This work and others, along with his distinguished career as an economist and an investor, earned him the title of the “Father of Value Investing.” His fictional investor in this referenced book was aptly named Mr. Market and he was the ultimate arbiter of price. […]
The Fed’s Misleading Money Supply Measures
The most robust national income determination model is the monetarist model. The course of the economy when measured in nominal terms is determined by the course taken by the money supply. Indeed, the positive relationship between the growth rate of the money supply and both nominal GDP and nominal aggregate demand growth is unambiguous and […]
Weekly Gasoline Price Update: WTIC Down Again
It’s time again for our weekly gasoline update based on data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The price of Regular and Premium are down three cents each from last week. According to GasBuddy.com, Hawaii has the highest average price for Regular at $3.86 and South Carolina has the cheapest at $2.48. The WTIC end of […]
3 ‘Strong Buy’ Tech Stocks To Watch Closely
So far earnings have been a rocky road. On the one hand, you have Microsoft, Netflix and Tesla smashing estimates, while on the other Alphabet and Amazon pulled back following more mixed results. Amazon, for example, implied that its fourth-quarter profit could be far lower than Wall Street was predicting. Meanwhile, growth in Google’s ad business […]
Household Debt At Historic Low Levels
“Davidson” submits: One good measure of indebtedness and risk to financial markets is the Household Debt to GDP Ratio (Percentage). Dodd Frank has not permitted the normal level of mtg lending we have experienced prior to the Sub-Prime surge. So restrictive has it been that starts at this part of the housing cycle remain the lowest since […]
That Didn’t Last Long
Paul Volcker caused a minor stir last week releasing a book he has been working on. The aging former Federal Reserve Chairman apparently has a lot to say about the current state of affairs. “We’re in a hell of a mess in every direction”, he told Andrew Ross Sorkin of The New York Times. No kidding; that about […]
November Expiry Saves Nat Gas
Expiry day for the November natural gas contract had all the excitement one would expect, as prices initially gapped down last evening and continued lower into the early morning before reversing higher through the day. Strong physical prices seemed to help the November contract expire with strength, as it expired flat to its settle on […]
