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Setting A Baseline For A Manufacturing Slowdown

Setting A Baseline For A Manufacturing Slowdown

If I am right that by roughly midyear 2019 the economy will experience a substantial slowdown, then we ought to start seeing a deceleration in the leading indicators for manufacturing soon. Additionally, if rail transportation is accurately signaling that a slowdown is already hitting due to the impact of Trump’s tariffs and China’s retaliation, producers […]
Inverse H&S Patterns And Something Even More Extreme

Inverse H&S Patterns And Something Even More Extreme

And so it happened. Gold stocks closed the week below the neck of their inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, while the USD Index closed it above its own inverse H&S. The implications thereof are strongly bearish for gold, silver, and mining stocks and we can say the same about gold’s shooting star candlestick that formed on Friday… And that’s […]
Why The Market Crash Is Just Beginning

Why The Market Crash Is Just Beginning

Wall Street’s playbook stipulates that every downtick in the market is just another buying opportunity. While that is most often true, peak margins, a slowing global economy and the bond bubble collapse makes this time more like 2008 than just a routine selloff.  In the vanguard of this coming market crash is China, whose make-pretend […]
Two Measures Of Inflation And Fed Policy – Monday, Oct. 29

Two Measures Of Inflation And Fed Policy – Monday, Oct. 29

The BEA’s Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Chain-type Price Index for September, released this morning, shows that core inflation is just about at the Federal Reserve’s 2% long-term target at 1.97%. The most recent Core Consumer Price Index release, also data through September, is higher at 2.17%. The Fed is on record as using Core PCE […]
Personal Income Up 0.2%, Smallest In 15 Months, Spending Up 0.4%

Personal Income Up 0.2%, Smallest In 15 Months, Spending Up 0.4%

Personal income rose 0.2% in September, with real disposable income up only 0.1%. The CPI was up 2.0% year-over-year. The BEA’s Personal Income and Outlays report for September 2018 shows personal income increased $35.7 billion in September. Income Personal income increased $35.7 billion (0.2 percent). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $29.1 billion (0.2 percent) Real DPI increased […]
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                        Best And Worst ADRs – Monday, Oct. 29

E Best And Worst ADRs – Monday, Oct. 29

The top-rated sector is services. The best-ranked countries Bermuda, Canada, and Brazil. The best-rated sectors in our ADR universe include services (RYAAY, GOL, SIG, ADRNY), utilities (EBR, ELP), basic materials (LUKOY, SID), and consumer goods (APHQF, TM). Financials score in line with the average universe score. Industrial goods, healthcare, and technology score below average. Average […]
Revenues And Guidance Take A Hit

Revenues And Guidance Take A Hit

So far this earnings season, 67.2% of companies have beaten bottom-line consensus EPS estimates. As shown in the chart below, earnings beat rates are doing just fine relative to other quarters over the last few years.   While bottom line numbers aren’t raising any red flags this season, revenues certainly appear to have a problem. Only 56% […]
6 ETFs With Monthly Dividends

6 ETFs With Monthly Dividends

In my latest screen, I searched for monthly dividend ETFs with above-average dividend yield and reliable dividend income flow. Most of the ETFs have raised their annual dividend payouts for the past several years, asserts fund expert Ned Piplovic, editor of Dividend Investor. The following list contains six monthly dividend ETFs with dividend yields exceeding 4%, annual […]
Featured Stock In October’s Exec Comp & ROIC Model Portfolio

Featured Stock In October’s Exec Comp & ROIC Model Portfolio

Recap from September’s Picks The best performing stock in the portfolio was up 6%. Overall, four out of the 15 Exec Comp Aligned with ROIC Stocks outperformed the S&P in September. The success of this Model Portfolio highlights the value of our Robo-Analyst technology[1], which scales our forensic accounting expertise (featured in Barron’s) across thousands of […]
Play Google’s Q3 Earnings Beat With These 3 Funds

Play Google’s Q3 Earnings Beat With These 3 Funds

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL – Free Report) posted favorable earnings results in the third quarter. The online advertising service provider posted earnings beat for the quarter, as the tech giant continues to enjoy strength in the mobile platform. Alphabet’s encouraging earnings results had a positive impact on the technology sector and boosted investors’ sentiment. Following the promising development, […]