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Archives by Year:
Here’s What Matters Most While Volatility Soars
Stocks were rocked by earnings announcements from AMZN and GOOGL missing revenue expectations. In this crucial weekend video newsletter update we focus on the Fed, stock buybacks, and the opportunities in the market now.
Precious Physical Metal Flows From Trusts And Funds – Managing The Gold Float
“He who sells what isn’t his’n, must buy it back or go to prison.” Daniel Drew Unless you are a banker. Then you get to keep your gains, and get backstopped by the Fed for any losses. Because you are just that systemically important, and politically well-connected. It looks like they are managing the physical ‘gold […]
Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 29 And November 5
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. Forecast Prior Observation Consensus Week of October 29 October 30 Personal Income – September 0.4% 0.3 0.4 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 28.1 28.1 28.0 […]
SPX Declines Into Correction Mode
VIX rose above its Cycle Top at 20.07, closing above it. The Cycles Model shows probable weakness lasting another week, but the upcoming election may hold sway over volatility. (Bloomberg) Stocks are chaotic. The reaction in markets for equity volatility is anything but. Pravit Chintawongvanich, equity derivatives strategist at Wells Fargo Securities, flags that measures […]
S&P 500 Snapshot: Close To A Correction
The S&P 500 experienced losses four out of five days this week and neared a correction on Friday, closing 9.28% below the record close. Friday saw a loss of 1.73%. The index is down 3.9% from last week and up 1.38% YTD. The U.S. Treasury puts the closing yield on the 10-year note at 3.08%. […]
EC The Market’s Exaggerated Earnings Worries
I am reasonably confident that had we been in a ‘normal’ market environment, the modest revenue ‘misses’ from Amazon (AMZN – Free Report) , Google’s parent Alphabet (GOOGL – Free Report) and a number of other major players would have been shrugged off. After all, it is not every day that the market gets to see companies the size […]
E Gold, Oil And G6 Targets For The Week Of October 29th
The SPX followed the script to a T and made a second swing low, just like it did during the other sell-offs this year (February, April, May and June). Several of our market breadth indicators are in oversold territory and show bullish divergences. This all suggests that a tradeable bottom may be forming. Current signals: […]
World Series Theory Of The Bond
Most investors have heard of the “Super Bowl Theory of the Dow.” This theory, first proposed by sportswriter Leonard Koppett in the 1970s (source: Wikipedia), posited that when a team from the “old” NFL (the current NFC plus the Colts, Browns, and Steelers, who joined the AFC in 1970) won the Super Bowl, the Dow […]
How Many Stocks Should I Own?
Introduction One of the most commonly asked questions I receive from investors is: how many stocks should I put in my portfolio? This is a widely debated subject that is most commonly referred to as concentrated versus widely diversified portfolio construction. Of course, the widely diversified camp likes holding a lot of stocks and therefore […]
Final October 2018 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Down Slightly
The final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for October came in at 98.6, down from the October preliminary of 99.0 and down from the September final of 100.1. The Econoday consensus range was 98.0 to 100.2 (consensus 99.0) Surveys of Consumers chief economist, Richard Curtin, makes the following comments: The Consumer Sentiment Index has been […]
