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Archives by Year:
Gold Shorts Suffer Biggest Squeeze Since 1999 As Specs Abandon VIX-Selling Spree
Until the last couple of weeks, net speculative positioning in financial markets was all on one side of the boat with speculators are woefully unprepared for a major risk-off event, suggesting complacency had reached epidemic levels as equities broke out to new highs. Then the calendar rolled over to October and everything changed. In the last two weeks, the […]
AUD/USD Forecast October 22-26 – No Reasons To Rise
The Australian dollar was hit by an unimpressive job report and disappointing Chinese GDP. What’s next? Apart from rising and falling with the woes of stock markets, speeches by several RBA officials will rock the Aussie. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. Australia gained only 5.6K positions in September, worse […]
CAD Falls On CPI, AUD May Gap Lower As Euro Price Risks Reversal
ASIA PACIFIC MARKET OPEN – CANADA CPI, BREXIT LATEST, AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR, EURO Canadian Dollar sinks on softer-than-expected inflation report ahead of BoC rate decision British Pound sees knee-jerk volatility as potential Brexit compromise creates a new issue Australian Dollar may gap lower given political uncertainty while Euro could turn lower The Canadian Dollar underperformed against its major counterparts Friday following a softer-than-expected […]
What’s Not Up?
Global equity markets had a hard time finding equilibrium. US Equities, while still the global leader, barely stayed positive with IWM closing down on the week. The Russell 2000 (IWM), which is the broadest gauge of the US economy, broke down on daily charts in late September and is now showing the same thing on […]
AUDUSD Weekly Analysis – Sunday, Oct. 21
AUDUSD remains in the downtrend from 0.8135. The bounce from 0.7041 is likely consolidation for the downtrend. As long as the price is below the bearish trend line on the daily chart, the downside movement could be expected to continue and next target would be at the 0.6900 area. Only a clear break above the […]
This Is What A Paper Gold Short Squeeze Looks Like
Huge imbalances in the gold futures market led many to predict that speculators (usually wrong at big turning points) would be forced to close out their historically extreme short bets. Put another way, too many traders were using gold futures contracts to bet that precious metals will go down, and when those bets are reversed […]
What To Expect When Q3 Peak Earnings Season Kicks Off Tomorrow
This week we enter what’s considered peak earnings season for the third quarter of 2018, with roughly 350 S&P 500 companies reporting in the next three weeks. Early on we’ve already gotten a good idea of what to expect for the rest of the season. Blended S&P 500 EPS growth (actuals for the 85 companies […]
Negative News Response Syndrome For Stocks?
With the heart of the current earnings season for stocks running from October 16 to November 14, it’s too early to prognosticate with confidence, but there appears to be a shift in how the market is responding to good and bad news. In 2017 and most of 2018 bad news was harmless and good news […]
E Market Briefing For Monday, Oct. 22
Bulls are falling-by-the-wayside – at an increasing pace, even as efforts to sustain the 200-Day Moving Average ‘inflection’, are showing ragged signs. This is notable ahead of a deluge of earnings reports in the week ahead. It’s against a backdrop of firmer rates amidst a sliding Housing sector; and the relapse of Chinese markets, prompting […]
E Markets: Rotations
Investors climbed a wall of worry last week but made little headway higher. The focus was on better earnings against the usual global economic and political concerns. China produced a weaker GDP for 3Q than expected but announced stock supportive measures and further stimulus plans. Europe had another bout of Italian budget and political fears […]
