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Archives by Year:
The Next Financial Crisis
We have been reading numerous comments recently about a forthcoming recession and the next crisis, particularly on the tenth anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. The question is not whether there will be a crisis, but when. In the past fifty years, we have seen more than eight global crises and many more local ones, […]
Beating The Market With ETF Rotation Systems
When stocks in a particular sector are booming, even a mediocre company in such sector can deliver generous gains. On the other hand, when global stock markets are collapsing, chances are that most individual stocks will also suffer heavy losses. Individual stock selection is important, but knowing when to buy or avoid stocks in a […]
E Global Economic Outlook Hasn’t Changed Despite Market And Trade War Jitters
The Bank of Canada, like other large forecasting agencies, expects the global economy to continue to be strong over the next two years, despite worries about the US-China trade war. Indeed, on the positive side, the proposed new trade agreement between Canada, the United States and Mexico reduces some of the trade policy uncertainty within […]
Short Term Trend Is Trapped
The short-term uptrend is trapped inside a larger medium-term downtrend. As a result, the short-term uptrend can only reach up so far before it is met with selling. I think this is what happened to the market on Friday. So, we are already on watch for signs of the next short-term downtrend. Here is a […]
Above The 40 – No Time For Comfort As Brakes Screech On The Oversold Bounce
Hold up. Pump the brakes. The bounce from oversold conditions just got more difficult as sellers forced buyers to come to a screeching halt. via GIPHY The S&P 500 (SPY) fell 0.9% in what looks like a “close enough” failure at downtrending 50-day moving average (DMA) resistance. In a bit of good news, the index […]
Bitcoin Elliott Wave View: Reacting Lower From Blue Box
In this blog, I want to share some short-term Elliott Wave charts of Bitcoin which we presented to our members in the past. Below, you see the 1-hour updated chart presented to our clients on the 11/06/18 showing Bitcoin in an Elliott wave Triangle structure in red wave B pullback. Bitcoin ended the cycle from 10/15/18 peak in black wave […]
Want To See What A Rally Into Resistance Looks Like?
Last week on Election Day, I posted the same chart with the headline, “Sometimes a Picture Says More Than Words.” What seems like ages ago, the conclusion on November 6th was “Seasonals favor Retail, but with the rest of the Family in warning, unless IYT saves the day, market remains under pressure.” Now, here are those […]
GBPUSD Weekly Analysis – Saturday, Nov.10
GBPUSD moved sideways in a trading range between 1.2661 and 1.3298. The price action in the range is likely consolidation for the downtrend from 1.4376 and another fall could be expected after the consolidation. Support is at 1.2661 and a breakdown below this level could signal resumption of the downtrend. Resistance is at 1.3298, above […]
Weekly Market Outlook – Despite Friday, Last Week Was Intoxicating
The market may not have ended last week’s action on a high note, but it doesn’t really matter. The first three days of the week were so strong, stocks were still more than able to log a second big week of gains and further solidify the young turnaround effort. There’s still a huge hurdle […]
