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Bear Bath

Bear Bath

The collapse in oil prices has turned into a total bear bath. The market ignores the bullish fundamentals and only focuses on bearish things that are yet to come. The selling mania is going into its tenth day and is getting to be among the biggest consecutive down day slides since the 1980’s as the […]
EURJPY Immediate Risk Remains Lower Towards 128.60 Region

EURJPY Immediate Risk Remains Lower Towards 128.60 Region

EURJPY immediate risk remains lower towards its key support located at 128.60 zone. Further down, support comes in at the 128.00 level where a break if seen will aim at the 127.50 level. A cut through here will turn focus to the 127.00 level and possibly lower towards the 126.50 level. On the upside, resistance […]
Big Producer Price Increase In October – If A Trend – Is A Problem

Big Producer Price Increase In October – If A Trend – Is A Problem

In a light data week, this morning’s report on producer prices is certainly worth mentioning.  As you may have read elsewhere, headline producer prices rose +0.6% in October, the highest reading in 6 years. The below graph compares that (blue) with commodity prices (red): As you can see, commodity price increases were within the normal […]
Crude Oil Suggesting Interest Rates Could Be Peaking, Says Joe Friday

Crude Oil Suggesting Interest Rates Could Be Peaking, Says Joe Friday

Joe Friday suggested that Crude Oil could be peaking in the chart above first shared on 5/25/18, as Crude was testing its 50% retracement level at (2). Weakness in Crude of late has it down near 20% from recent highs. Crude is one of the most important commodities on the planet and big moves in it […]
Global GDP Still Propped Up By A Massive Amount Of Debt

Global GDP Still Propped Up By A Massive Amount Of Debt

While the government agencies and economists continue to publish strong GDP figures, they seem to overlook how much debt it took to produce that growth. Or should I say, the “supposed growth.” The days of adding one dollar of debt to get one dollar of GDP growth have been long gone for more than 40 […]
Record Streak In Oil

Record Streak In Oil

Equity futures and commodities were weak heading into the 8:30 PPI report and picked up steam to the downside after a much stronger than expected PPI report for the month of October (0.6% vs 0.2%). In fact, it was the strongest report relative to expectations since the initial release of the January 2017 report last February. […]
Bitcoin Took One Step Forward, Will It Shoot Higher?

Bitcoin Took One Step Forward, Will It Shoot Higher?

The BTC/USD woke up from its slumber and made an initial move to the upside. While it later retreated, the price holds above downtrend resistance. Cryptocurrencies suffered several weeks of deep sleep, with Bitcoin being the king of comfort. However, the week of the US Mid-Term Elections saw markets waking up. The BTC/USD rose above […]
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                        Markets: Grinding

E Markets: Grinding

There is a skate park feel to trading as the painful retreat of equities and oil feels like a trick gone bad. The oil fail today has many reasons – the FOMC hawkish tone, the Saudi OPEC doubts, China confidence crumbling (Auto sales of 12% in Oct), US politics, Italian banks, Brexit deal doubts. What […]
The Fed Just Told Stocks “You’re On Your Own”

The Fed Just Told Stocks “You’re On Your Own”

As I keep warning, the Fed is going to hike rates until something breaks. And by “something,” I don’t meant a garden variety correction in the markets; the Fed has made it EXPLICIT that it would only consider slowing the pace of rate hikes if the markets entered a meltdown so massive that it actually impacted consumer […]
One Direction More Likely For Bitcoin

One Direction More Likely For Bitcoin

The recent period of sideways trading may make traders impatient or even discouraged altogether. At any rate, those who crave more action in Bitcoin could be driven out of the market. But this is no time to bet on Bitcoin staying docile. If the recent months haven’t exactly been rosy for Bitcoin traders, there are […]