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Archives by Year:
A Blue, Blue Wave + Aggressively Hawkish Fed: A Recipe For Disaster?
What’s going to happen if the Democratic Party gets its Blue Wave this Tuesday? My thoughts are as follows: One way or another, this will be an obsession. If both houses go to the Democrats there will be a major media freakout/ feeding frenzy focusing on the negative: the Democrats … their business-unfriendly bias, their desire to reign […]
The Madame Bovary Effect
Bitcoin price last 12 months She wanted to die, but she also wanted to live in Paris. Gustave Flaubert wrote Madame Bovary in 1856 and published it as a serial novel in a Parisian literary magazine, which were what blogs were called back then. The publication was quite scandalous for the day, and the resulting obscenity trial […]
S&P 500 Looks To Midterms And Trade Wars, Dax And FTSE Elsewhere
Fundamental Forecast for Equities: Bearish Equities have shed some geopolitical concerns but midterms look to command the spotlight next week Earnings season has largely been a boon for US equities with many positive results across sectors despite disappointing reports from FANG Trade wars will continue to dominate headlines and pose as a constant risk S&P […]
Berkshire Hathaway Reports Q3 Operating Earnings $6.88B Vs. $3.44B Last Year
Berkshire reported Q3 net earnings of $18.5 billion, or $11.28 billion per class A share equivalent, from $4.07 billion in the year-earlier period. At September 30, 2018, Berkshire’s book value per Class A equivalent share was $228,712. Insurance float was approximately $118 billion at September 30, 2018, an increase of $4billion since year-end 2017.
Market Cap To GDP: November Update To The Buffett Valuation Indicator
Note: This update incorporates the latest Z.1 data release (Q2), the Q3 GDP Advance Estimate, and the October close data. Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator that has become popular in recent years, thanks to Warren Buffett. Back in 2001, he remarked in a Fortune Magazineinterview that “it is probably the best single measure […]
The Next Big Market Risk: Here Comes A Sharp Slowdown In Stock Buybacks
Stock buybacks may be back as blackout session ends, but suddenly companies’ appetite to repurchase their own shares appears to be slowing sharply. After an initial record surge in the amount of US corporate cash repatriated from offshore jurisdictions (if only for accounting purposes, as the bulk of said cash was already largely invested in […]
Weekly Market Outlook – The Rebound Has One Last Hurdle To Clear
PRINT It wasn’t exactly a stellar end to the week; the S&P 500 lost 0.65% of its value on Friday after bumping into an unsurprising ceiling. But, in light of the big advance dished out over the course of the prior three trading days, investors were forgiving. The S&P 500 was up 2.4% last week, […]
E Gold, Oil And G6 Targets For The Week Of November 5
Once again, the SPX didn’t disappoint and continued following last week’s scenario with uncanny precision price and time wise. First, the futures dropped to the projected low target on Monday, bounced off and then proceeded to advance 150+ points, briefly exceeding our upside weekly target, only to pull back and close on Friday just 5 […]
Forex Forecast: Pairs In Focus – Sunday, Nov. 4
The difference between success and failure in Forex trading is very likely to depend upon which currency pairs you choose to trade each week, and not on the exact trading methods you might use to determine trade entries and exits. Each week I am going to analyze fundamentals, sentiment and technical positions in order to […]
Black Swan Forex Track Record October 2018: Summary & Detail
We had a nice month overall; though our winning percentage faded later in the month. But it is about how much money you make, not the distributions of wins and losses. We play our edge and grind it out day after day. No magic, as you know. Please click here to view October ‘18 Track […]
