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Archives by Year:
Trudeau Quietly Approves $10.5 Billion Corporate Tax Cut To Compete With Trump
Maybe President Trump had a point when he blasted his Canadian counterpart, Justin Trudeau, for being “very dishonest and weak.” Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who earlier this year survived an embarrassing #MeToo scandal when a woman accused him of groping her at a party, is once again following President Trump’s lead by imposing business-friendly tax cuts meant […]
Pullback Trading Strategies
One of the most common ways to trade financial markets is to use a pullback strategy. This simply means jumping into a market that has established a trend, and then has gone against that trend as markets typically do, forming an ebb and flow over time. Think of it this way: if you are in an […]
Commodities Break Channel
Crude oil has been getting absolutely walloped for weeks now, having lost over a third of its value recently. Looking at the chart of USO below, it seems to me we are definitely primed for a bounce. The bounce will ultimately fail, but we’re really, really oversold at this point. Of course, any ETF that […]
Forex Weekly Outlook Nov. 26 – 30 – Will King Dollar Continue Winning When Markets Fall?
The US Dollar moved on up around Thanksgiving in a week which saw a risk-off sentiment. What’s next? Things are becoming busier in the last week of November. with the FOMC Minutes, GDP, and two major summits. Here the highlights for the next week. Global stock markets and oil prices fell sharply once again. The […]
Bitcoin’s Latest Price Plunge Finally Wakes Up (Search) Interest
There’s nothing like a good sell-off to kindle interest. Until November 14th, Bitcoin (BTC-USD) held a floor between 5750 and 6000 for the entire year, whether on an intraday or “closing” basis. After that threshold broke down, sellers overwhelmed buyers to the tune of new 52-week lows. The cryptocurrency now sits at a 13+ month […]
Gold Is Setting Up For A Nice First-Half Rally
Precious metals investors don’t have much to console them these days. Just about the only bright spot is the nice, though ephemeral, pop in the gold/silver price that seems to happen every January. Sometimes it persists for six or so months, sometimes it ends before the snows do. But either way it’s more fun than […]
Thanksgiving Interview With CEO Money
Michael Yorba of CEO Money has honored me with a weekly invite to appear on his show. During the latest interview (we have done four weekly interviews thus far), we mainly cover the macro viewpoint with both fundamental and technical analysis. Please have a listen, as we analyze five essential points that will tell us what […]
JPMorgan Spots The Next Big Problem: A Plunge In Global Bond Demand
One year ago, just as the Fed had started quantitative tightening, i.e., the shrinkage of its balance sheet, JPMorgan’s Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, author of the populist Flows and Liquidity newsletter predicted that the more than $1 trillion decline in G4 central bank bond purchases in 2018 relative to 2017 would be a key driver for the change in the […]
Oil Sends A “Crude Warning”
As with many Americans, I am on the road with the family making the traditional holiday rounds. Of course, my family is more “The Griswolds” than “The Waltons”. but even with all of the antics, comedy, and occasional drama, it is always an enjoyable time of the year. However, I did wake up from my tryptophan-induced coma long […]
