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Archives by Year:
Don’t Buy The Dips Alarmism
Now that cash holdings are beating the stock market gains for 2018, “Goldman Says It’s Time for Equity Investors to Boost their Cash”. Headlines from Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and many analysts warn that investors should not Buy the Dips and remain defensive. Anecdotally this is one of the more Alarmist mantras we have heard in years. […]
Conference Board Leading Economic Index: October Increase But Possible Slowing Pace
The latest Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for October increased fractionally to 112.1 from 112.0 in September. The Coincident Economic Index (CEI) came in at 104.7, up from 104.5 the previous month. The Conference Board LEI for the U.S. increased in October, primarily due to improving consumer expectations for business conditions, the yield spread and the […]
Three Tech Stocks For Dividend Investors To Buy Now
Tech stocks have been unpredictable at times recently, but the sector has proven it can rebound from volatility strongly, and there is no question that tech has been the leader of the market’s strong multiyear run up to this point. However, this might mean that income investors—those focused on finding companies with solid dividends—might be […]
October 2018 Leading Economic Index Economic Improved Slightly
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S slightly improved this month – and the authors say “ While near term economic growth should remain strong, longer term growth is likely to moderate to about 2.5 percent by mid to late 2019″. Analyst Opinion of the Leading Economic Index Because of the significant backward […]
This Overnight Gas Spike Fails
The December natural gas contract shot far higher overnight, moving above $4.85 briefly before gradually moving down through the morning. A bullish EIA print then spiked prices back into resistance, only for that second bounce to also fail with prices settling down a bit over 1.5% on the day. Losses were by far the worst […]
The “Hedge Fund VIP” List: These Are The Stocks That Caused Nightmares On Wall Street
The end of Q3 was unique for investors in that while stocks had yet to suffer their post-Oct. 3 tumble when Fed Chair Powell infamously warned the Fed’s rate hikes may overshoot the neutral rate, it provided a glimpse of portfolio holdings just before the most violent stock market selloff in years. It also took […]
Aannd … An Options Selling Fund Blows Up
The options market is still complicated. Last week I wrote a post about the extent to which the options market does not give money away for free, citing a possible straddle on Nvidia (NVDA) that an investor could have sold on Thursday for $20 and been immediately underwater on Friday after the company’s earnings report. Then sure […]
Thanksgiving Trading Strategy
(Video length 00:42:28) “Once you understand what excellence is all about…you see how excellence manifests itself in any discipline.” Crude Oil is bearish with a $4.00 move lower, telling me to anticipate a range tomorrow morning and plan to use buyer-failures up above the moving average for a selling-opportunities… E-Mini S&P is bearish and trading […]
When The Computer Herds Hit The Exits
“In a 2010 study of the 2010 Flash Crash, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodities Futures Trading Commission found that high frequency traders substantially increased volatility during the event and accelerated the crash…The Australian Securities and Investments Commission, the stock regulator in Australia, found in a 2012 study that during volatile markets high frequency traders reduce […]
