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Archives by Year:
Dollar Bears Tighten Their Grip
The consolidation/correction in the US dollar that we anticipated on technical grounds was brief and shallow. A series of developments seemed to play into the bears’ hands.The developments from the shift in how China sets the reference rate, the wariness of some to expand its Treasury holdings, to less super-long bond buying by the BOJ and […]
Kush Bottles Rises 3-Fold After Triangle Breakout – This Is Why Chart Analysis Matters
This article is educational. We analyze one great case which highlights the importance of chart analysis. In particular it is a triangle breakout, a textbook pattern in chart analysis, which is very high reward/low risk setup for investors. Case in point: Kush Bottles, symbol KSHB. Note: InvestingHaven’s research team noticed this setup back in October […]
Crude Oil Prices To Remain Bid As Overbought Conditions Persist
Fundamental Forecast for Crude Oil Prices: Bullish Crude remains bid as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies extend the production cuts from 2017, and oil prices may continue to exhibit a bullish behavior as the group stays on course to reduce supply. Oman Minister of Oil & Gas Mohammed Al Rumhy sees oil prices holding around $65-70/bbl for […]
Will Tax Cuts Translate Into Consumer Spending & Business Investment?
Following the first full week of trading in 2018, the S&P 500 is up over 3% for the first nine days of trading in the new year. That index is edged out by the Nasdaq Composite Index, which saw a boost following the tech-heavy news flow last week spinning out of CES 2018. That annual […]
Emerging Markets: Preview Of The Week Ahead – Jan. 14
EM FX continues to rally as the dollar remains on its back foot. With no obvious drivers this week that might help the dollar, we believe EM FX can extend the recent gains. Still, we continue to advise caution when investing in EM, as differentiation should again become evident as idiosyncratic risks remain in play. […]
GBP/USD Forecast Jan. 15-19 2018
GBP/USD defied gravity and worrying data to stay afloat, taking advantage of the weakness of the US dollar and eventually ended the week at the highest levels since the Brexit vote. The upcoming week features the inflation report and retail sales numbers among other events. Will cable remain stable? Here are the key events and an […]
Weighing The Week Ahead: A Confusing Earnings Season
The economic calendar is normal, with a holiday-shortened week and some ongoing political worries. Competing with the Washington Circus will be Q417 corporate earnings reports. The former topics will have greater news interest, but investors should be digging into the earnings reports. The earnings story is always a tasty stew – expectations, results, differing measures, […]
Weekly Forex Forecast – Jan. 14
The British pound fell initially during the week but then rallied rather significantly. More importantly, we broke above the 1.3650 level, which was the scene of a massive gap lower after the vote to move away from the European Union. Because of this, I think that the market will continue to find buyers on dips, […]
The World’s Pile Of Negative-Yielding Debt Just Shrunk By $1 Trillion In 8 Days
The global stock of negative-yielding debt is shrinking rapidly in 2018. A hallmark of the post-crisis policy regime, sub-zero yields signaled both investors’ persistent fear of the deflation boogeyman and expectations of continual support from policymakers. The willingness of the Fed, the ECB and the BoJ (not to mention the BoE and the Riksbank) to […]
Cryptocurrencies Are Sliding Again
Crypto bulls rejoiced on Saturday when a report in South Korea’s Chosun Ilbo repudiated the Justice Ministry’s warning that it would seek to stifle digital-currency trading in South Korea, and instead, the country is planning to implement a real-name accounting system. The news effectively put an end to the confusion surrounding the future of cryptocurrency policy in […]
