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Archives by Year:
The Energy Report: Winds O War Premium
Photo by Documerica on UnsplashFundamentals for oil are taking a back seat to the shifting winds of war. It’s war premium in, then war premium out, then war premium back in again. Oil has faded since Sunday night on expectations that Israel’s move on the Gaza Strip and Hamas was indefinitely postponed. A headline from […]
Strong GDP Growth And Consumer Spending
The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that seasonally adjusted U.S. real GDP grew at a 4.9% annual rate in the third quarter. That’s well above the U.S. historical average growth rate of 3.1%. Real GDP growth at an annual rate, 1947:Q2-2023:Q3, with the historical average (3.1%) in blue. Calculated as 400 times the difference in the […]
Is Major Stock Market Index Warning Trouble Ahead?
Image Source: Unsplash When evaluating the stock market, looking at several key indicators to evaluate risk and positioning is good. And sometimes, those indicators are actual stock market indices or index ETFs.In today’s case, it’s an index ETF.Today, we look at a long-term “monthly” chart of the S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP). Here, we get the performance […]
Macro: Durable Goods New Orders
New orders for Durable Goods looks good on the surface, up 4.7% just from last month and 7.8% from a year ago. The headline number showed an increase of $13.215B. Non-defense aircraft orders were up $15.5B, so the aggregate of everything else was down on the month. New Orders for Sep. Nondefense Capital Goods ex-Aircraft […]
Yields Slide After Stellar 7Y Auction With Highest Bid-To-Cover Since March 2020
After two ugly auctions, at 1 pm ET the Treasury concluded the week’s coupon issuance with the sale of $38BN in 7-year paper in what was actually a rather recent auction.The high yield of 4.908% was above last month’s 4.673% and was the highest on record, but more importantly it stopped through the When Issued […]
Mr. Market Plays Survivor Plus AMZN Expectations
Image Source: Pixabay Allow me to propose a game show scenario. Seven companies spend several months in a secluded mansion, pampered, feted, and largely impervious to events that go on outside their cloister. Real-world events are tense, but not for those in the chateau. Then, each has to make a presentation to a faceless set of […]
European Central Bank Laying Groundwork For Digital Euro
Image Source: Pixabay The European Central Bank (ECB) is laying the groundwork to roll out its version of a central bank digital currency (CBDC).According to the ECB’s website, the “preparation phase” for the digital euro begins in November and “builds on the findings from our investigation phase.” The aim of the preparation phase is to lay the […]
Charted: The Key Investment Theme Of Each Decade (1950-Today)
Over modern history, a key investment theme has broadly characterized each decade.In each case, a particular asset class, sector, or region captivated investors for an extended period, driving returns and outperforming the rest of the market.This graphic shows 70 years of key investment themes, based on analysis from Ruchir Sharma of Morgan Stanley Investment Management […]
Meta Platforms: An Interesting Opportunity
Image Source: Pixabay A look at what META will do next.Video Length: 00:05:42More By This Author:Bill Ackman Exits His Short Position – Here Is Why Crypto Is Moving A Reality That We All Must Be Aware Of: Why The S&P Down Side Potential Is Massive Right Now
War Concern Peaked, But Did Gold Price Peak?
Gold price moved higher on Wednesday, and this move might be confusing. Is the pullback over? Or is this a broader top?Let’s take a look at the charts to find out. In short, the current situation is similar to what we saw in May, and it’s also like something that we used to see earlier […]
