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Archives by Year:
US Inflation Figures – A Litmus Test For Market Resilience
The strong start to November undergoes a crucial assessment this week as market participants analyse October’s inflation data. This information is pivotal for gaining insight into the Federal Reserve’s stance regarding possible interest rate increases and the imminent risk of a government shutdown.FreepikWhat holds particular importance is the October Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is […]
The S&P 500 Rises With Fall Of Long-Term Treasury Yields
The S&P 500 gained nearly 1.2% over its previous week’s close, ending the first full trading week of November 2023 at 4409.95.In doing so, it continued reverting toward its mean and is now about a half percent below it.In terms of the bigger picture, the move was accompanied by the reversal of the October 2023 spike in long term […]
Gold And Silver Fractals Suggest Enormous Price Targets Ahead
This week, I’d like to look at some big picture charts of gold and silver fractals. I’m dedicating this week’s analysis especially to those who believe that technical analysis works only on smaller time frames to see if these charts might make you reconsider.Freepik. We’ll start with gold and note the familiar 10+ year Cup & Handle that […]
Oil Steady Ahead Of Key Monthly Reports
The crude oil market is awaiting monthly OPEC and the IEA reports to gauge the market balance. Elsewhere, sugar production in Brazil remains healthy, which should help offset supply losses from India and Thailand and keep price gains under check. Energy – Oil steady ahead of key monthly reportsICE Brent started the week on a soft […]
FX Daily: Spotlight On The US Consumer This Week
The dollar starts the week quietly and is holding onto gains made after Fed Chair Jay Powell served up a reminder that the hiking cycle is still live. For this week, the FX market will be focusing on the October US CPI release, but especially US retail sales. Any softer figures here could see the […]
The Inevitable Money Laundering Attack On Crypto Picks Up Steam
The US blames Hamas funding on money laundering via crypto. Notably, the amount of information the government wants is staggering. The money laundering attack won’t stop with Hamas. U.S. Targets Crypto Mixers Over Money Laundering RisksOn October 19, the Wall Street Journal noted U.S. Targets Crypto Mixers Over Money Laundering Risks In an unprecedented action, the […]
TLT And QQQ: My Thoughts On Treasuries And Tech Stocks Amid Wild Volatility
The shifts in investor sentiment have been a whipsaw.FreepikMaybe this is the start of a generational opportunity to “buy the bottom” in long-term bonds. Or, maybe it is just Lucy pulling the football away from Charlie Brown again as he’s about to kick it. Let’s see what a quick set of charts does to help […]
Was 60/40 A Big Head Fake?
Freepik More By This Author:The Short On Shorting Bonds Discover Uncommon Value In The Preferred And Capital Securities Market What’s It Worth?
Weekly Market Outlook – That Was Just Good Enough To Change Everything
Two weeks ago the market was hanging on for dear life. One week ago stocks were knocking on the door of a bullish breakout. Now, the stock market is above the last of any prospective technical ceilings. That’s how quickly things can change in this game.FreepikNow what? Well, as was noted, the market really is […]
New Zealand Dollar/U.S. Dollar, Day Chart, Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, Monday, Nov. 13
NZDUSD Elliott Wave Analysis, Day Chart, Monday, Nov. 13 UnsplashNew Zealand Dollar/U.S. Dollar (NZDUSD) Day ChartNZDUSD Elliott Wave Technical AnalysisFunction: TrendMode: impulsive Structure: blue wave 3 of 1Position: black wave 1Direction Next Higher Degrees: blue wave 3(may started)Details; Blue corrective wave 2 looking completed between fib level 50.00 to 61.80. Now blue wave 3 may start. Wave […]
